Polymarket traders assign a 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, leading a fragmented field amid the April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially dwarfing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as of April 16 and planned early-June roadshows with site visits for institutional investors, signaling strong prep momentum tied to Starlink's revenue surge and xAI merger synergies boosting growth multiples. Lower brackets like $50-60 billion (16.5%) reflect risks from volatile equity demand and pricing discipline, while $80-90 billion (15%) hinges on exceeding $2 trillion ambitions if AI-driven hype sustains; resolution nears with pricing eyed for mid-June.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
How much will SpaceX raise in its IPO?
$135,155 KL.
$135,155 KL.
<40B
5%
40-50B
3%
50-60B
15%
60-70B
13%
70-80B
33%
80-90B
15%
90-100B
2%
100-110B
8%
110-120B
1%
120B+
3%
$135,155 KL.
$135,155 KL.
<40B
$9,568 KL.
5%
40-50B
$5,310 KL.
3%
50-60B
$33,062 KL.
15%
60-70B
$14,044 KL.
13%
70-80B
$24,208 KL.
33%
80-90B
$15,462 KL.
15%
90-100B
$10,080 KL.
2%
100-110B
$7,478 KL.
8%
110-120B
$8,448 KL.
1%
120B+
$7,496 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign a 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, leading a fragmented field amid the April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially dwarfing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as of April 16 and planned early-June roadshows with site visits for institutional investors, signaling strong prep momentum tied to Starlink's revenue surge and xAI merger synergies boosting growth multiples. Lower brackets like $50-60 billion (16.5%) reflect risks from volatile equity demand and pricing discipline, while $80-90 billion (15%) hinges on exceeding $2 trillion ambitions if AI-driven hype sustains; resolution nears with pricing eyed for mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$135,155Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Polymarket traders assign a 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, leading a fragmented field amid the April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially dwarfing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as of April 16 and planned early-June roadshows with site visits for institutional investors, signaling strong prep momentum tied to Starlink's revenue surge and xAI merger synergies boosting growth multiples. Lower brackets like $50-60 billion (16.5%) reflect risks from volatile equity demand and pricing discipline, while $80-90 billion (15%) hinges on exceeding $2 trillion ambitions if AI-driven hype sustains; resolution nears with pricing eyed for mid-June.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$135,155Thị trường mở
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 32.5% implied probability to SpaceX raising $70-80 billion in its IPO, leading a fragmented field amid the April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting a June debut at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially dwarfing Saudi Aramco's $29 billion record. Recent catalysts include accelerated employee share vesting as of April 16 and planned early-June roadshows with site visits for institutional investors, signaling strong prep momentum tied to Starlink's revenue surge and xAI merger synergies boosting growth multiples. Lower brackets like $50-60 billion (16.5%) reflect risks from volatile equity demand and pricing discipline, while $80-90 billion (15%) hinges on exceeding $2 trillion ambitions if AI-driven hype sustains; resolution nears with pricing eyed for mid-June.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp