Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIllinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Stratton 6–9% 100%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ <1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9% <1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6% <1%
$27,646 KL.
$27,646 KL.
Mar 16, 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
No
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
No
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
No
Krishnamoorthi <3%
No
Stratton <3%
No
Stratton 3–6%
No
Stratton 6–9%
Yes
Stratton 9%+
No
Other
No
Stratton 6–9% 100%
Krishnamoorthi 9%+ <1%
Krishnamoorthi 6–9% <1%
Krishnamoorthi 3–6% <1%
$27,646 KL.
$27,646 KL.
Mar 16, 2026
Krishnamoorthi 9%+
$3,806 KL.
No
Krishnamoorthi 6–9%
$0 KL.
No
Krishnamoorthi 3–6%
$1,877 KL.
No
Krishnamoorthi <3%
$0 KL.
No
Stratton <3%
$3,360 KL.
No
Stratton 3–6%
$5,357 KL.
No
Stratton 6–9%
$8,501 KL.
Yes
Stratton 9%+
$2,527 KL.
No
Other
$2,219 KL.
No
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Thị trường mở: Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,646Ngày kết thúc
Mar 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Khối lượng
$27,646Ngày kết thúc
Mar 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47de9d...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured victory in Illinois's March 17, 2026, Democratic U.S. Senate primary for retiring Sen. Dick Durbin's open seat, capturing approximately 40% of the vote to Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi's 33%, a margin of 6.8–7.7 percentage points across final tallies from over 1.1 million ballots. Trader consensus reflects certified results from major outlets like the Associated Press and state canvass, confirming Stratton's edge through strong Chicago and downstate turnout bolstered by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC support, overcoming Krishnamoorthi's suburban strength and fundraising lead. Late polls showing Stratton's surge solidified pre-election positioning. Only an improbable recount altering thousands of votes could shift the 6–9% bin, with no disputes reported as of mid-April.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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