A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting hostilities with Hezbollah after six weeks of cross-border strikes and airstrikes that displaced thousands. The truce, announced by the State Department following direct talks, aims to enable peace negotiations, with President Trump urging Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Lebanese president to meet at the White House. Hezbollah, not formally a party, has observed restraint but insists the deal bars Israeli freedom of movement in Lebanon, amid reports of minor violations. Traders watch for truce extension by late April, potential de-escalation signals, or renewed escalation as displaced Lebanese return south.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIsrael x Hezbollah ngừng bắn bởi...?
Israel x Hezbollah ngừng bắn bởi...?
$61,242,433 KL.
Apr 15, 2026
18 tháng 4
100%
$61,242,433 KL.
18 tháng 4
$47,206,908 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting hostilities with Hezbollah after six weeks of cross-border strikes and airstrikes that displaced thousands. The truce, announced by the State Department following direct talks, aims to enable peace negotiations, with President Trump urging Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Lebanese president to meet at the White House. Hezbollah, not formally a party, has observed restraint but insists the deal bars Israeli freedom of movement in Lebanon, amid reports of minor violations. Traders watch for truce extension by late April, potential de-escalation signals, or renewed escalation as displaced Lebanese return south.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Khối lượng
$61,242,433Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Có
Đã tranh chấp
Kết quả đề xuất: Có
Đã tranh chấp
Xem xét cuối cùng
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting hostilities with Hezbollah after six weeks of cross-border strikes and airstrikes that displaced thousands. The truce, announced by the State Department following direct talks, aims to enable peace negotiations, with President Trump urging Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Lebanese president to meet at the White House. Hezbollah, not formally a party, has observed restraint but insists the deal bars Israeli freedom of movement in Lebanon, amid reports of minor violations. Traders watch for truce extension by late April, potential de-escalation signals, or renewed escalation as displaced Lebanese return south.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in direct military engagement, between Israel and Hezbollah by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of whether the ceasefire officially takes effect after the resolution date.
Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses, limited operational pauses, or temporary tactical stand-downs will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, or political framework will qualify only if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement between the Israel and Hezbollah, effective on a specified date, or otherwise confirmed by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
This market’s resolution will be based on official statements from the Israeli Government and Hezbollah. However, a wide consensus of credible media reporting confirming that an official ceasefire agreement has been reached will suffice.
Khối lượng
$61,242,433Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: Có
Đã tranh chấp
Kết quả đề xuất: Có
Đã tranh chấp
Xem xét cuối cùng
A US-brokered 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon took effect on April 16, 2026, halting hostilities with Hezbollah after six weeks of cross-border strikes and airstrikes that displaced thousands. The truce, announced by the State Department following direct talks, aims to enable peace negotiations, with President Trump urging Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and the Lebanese president to meet at the White House. Hezbollah, not formally a party, has observed restraint but insists the deal bars Israeli freedom of movement in Lebanon, amid reports of minor violations. Traders watch for truce extension by late April, potential de-escalation signals, or renewed escalation as displaced Lebanese return south.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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