Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 20 indicate overnight lows near 52–53°F under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, consistent with typical early-fall radiational cooling moderated by Puget Sound marine influence. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours support this range, though variable fog formation or brief wind shifts could push minima several degrees lower in localized areas. Historical September overnight averages hover around 51–54°F, providing context for the elevated implied probability on 52–53°F (30%) alongside the leading 45°F-or-below outcome (46%), which traders appear to weight due to tail-risk cooling scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seattle on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Seattle on September 20?
45°F or below 96%
52-53°F 44%
54-55°F 39%
48-49°F 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
45°F or below
96%
46-47°F
37%
48-49°F
38%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
38%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
37%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
2%
64°F or higher
2%
45°F or below 96%
52-53°F 44%
54-55°F 39%
48-49°F 38%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
45°F or below
$0 KL.
96%
46-47°F
$0 KL.
37%
48-49°F
$0 KL.
38%
50-51°F
$2 KL.
27%
52-53°F
$26 KL.
38%
54-55°F
$1 KL.
21%
56-57°F
$0 KL.
37%
58-59°F
$0 KL.
37%
60-61°F
$0 KL.
2%
62-63°F
$0 KL.
2%
64°F or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 20 indicate overnight lows near 52–53°F under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, consistent with typical early-fall radiational cooling moderated by Puget Sound marine influence. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours support this range, though variable fog formation or brief wind shifts could push minima several degrees lower in localized areas. Historical September overnight averages hover around 51–54°F, providing context for the elevated implied probability on 52–53°F (30%) alongside the leading 45°F-or-below outcome (46%), which traders appear to weight due to tail-risk cooling scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 20 indicate overnight lows near 52–53°F under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, consistent with typical early-fall radiational cooling moderated by Puget Sound marine influence. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours support this range, though variable fog formation or brief wind shifts could push minima several degrees lower in localized areas. Historical September overnight averages hover around 51–54°F, providing context for the elevated implied probability on 52–53°F (30%) alongside the leading 45°F-or-below outcome (46%), which traders appear to weight due to tail-risk cooling scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$29Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 18, 2026, 7:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for Seattle on September 20 indicate overnight lows near 52–53°F under partly clear skies and light northerly winds, consistent with typical early-fall radiational cooling moderated by Puget Sound marine influence. Recent model consensus and observational trends from the past 48 hours support this range, though variable fog formation or brief wind shifts could push minima several degrees lower in localized areas. Historical September overnight averages hover around 51–54°F, providing context for the elevated implied probability on 52–53°F (30%) alongside the leading 45°F-or-below outcome (46%), which traders appear to weight due to tail-risk cooling scenarios. Updated NWS briefings and next model runs will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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