Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, leads the Senate race for first place due to strong name recognition, his executive record from 2015–2022, and recent polling that places him well ahead of rivals. Surveys released in early August 2026 by Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil showed Azambuja capturing 30–38% voting intention for the two open seats, followed by Capitão Contar (PL) at 19–20% and others including Vander Loubet (PT) and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) in single digits. His switch to the PL and backing from party figures have consolidated support in a state with two Senate vacancies up for election in October. Traders reflect this positioning in elevated odds for Azambuja while assigning lower probabilities to challengers amid the fragmented field and limited time before ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtReinaldo Azambuja 67%
Beto do Movimento 22%
Valderi Garcia 21%
Vander Loubet 20%

Reinaldo Azambuja
70%

Beto do Movimento
22%

Valderi Garcia
21%

Vander Loubet
20%

Capitão Contar
33%

Daniel Junior
17%

Soraya
13%

Roberto Oshiro
7%

Valter da Comagran
7%

Luiz Lemes
6%
Reinaldo Azambuja 67%
Beto do Movimento 22%
Valderi Garcia 21%
Vander Loubet 20%

Reinaldo Azambuja
70%

Beto do Movimento
22%

Valderi Garcia
21%

Vander Loubet
20%

Capitão Contar
33%

Daniel Junior
17%

Soraya
13%

Roberto Oshiro
7%

Valter da Comagran
7%

Luiz Lemes
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), the former governor of Mato Grosso do Sul, leads the Senate race for first place due to strong name recognition, his executive record from 2015–2022, and recent polling that places him well ahead of rivals. Surveys released in early August 2026 by Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil showed Azambuja capturing 30–38% voting intention for the two open seats, followed by Capitão Contar (PL) at 19–20% and others including Vander Loubet (PT) and Soraya Thronicke (PSB) in single digits. His switch to the PL and backing from party figures have consolidated support in a state with two Senate vacancies up for election in October. Traders reflect this positioning in elevated odds for Azambuja while assigning lower probabilities to challengers amid the fragmented field and limited time before ballots close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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