Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMorena 89.2%
PAN 8.9%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 KL.
$98,891 KL.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
89%
PAN
9%
PRI
1%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 89.2%
PAN 8.9%
PRI <1%
MC <1%
$98,891 KL.
$98,891 KL.
Jun 5, 2027
Morena
$55,412 KL.
89%
PAN
$15,664 KL.
9%
PRI
$7,219 KL.
1%
MC
$8,408 KL.
<1%
PT
$6,047 KL.
<1%
PVEM
$6,141 KL.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$98,891Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Khối lượng
$98,891Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus for winning the most seats in Mexico’s June 2027 legislative election for the Chamber of Deputies, driven by sustained polling leads of 38–45% nationally and the party’s dominant position following its 2024 supermajority gains. President Claudia Sheinbaum’s high approval ratings and the party’s territorial control across most governorships reinforce this positioning, while the opposition remains fragmented with PAN as the clearest but distant second at roughly 10–18% in recent surveys. Structural factors, including the mixed-member electoral system and limited coalition momentum among PRI, MC, and smaller parties, further constrain challengers’ paths. No major shifts from economic pressures or internal party disputes have materially altered these probabilities in recent months.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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