Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the Minnesota 5th District Democratic primary on August 11 due to her status as the longtime incumbent, strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million compared with challengers, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025 with priorities centered on housing, healthcare, and public safety, trails at 9% amid limited resources and no comparable institutional support. A third candidate, Julie Le, further fragments the field but has not altered the consensus positioning. These structural advantages have kept trader sentiment stable in the absence of major developments in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$26,014 KL.
$26,014 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
89%
Latonya Reeves
9%
$26,014 KL.
$26,014 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$20,787 KL.
89%
Latonya Reeves
$5,227 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the Minnesota 5th District Democratic primary on August 11 due to her status as the longtime incumbent, strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million compared with challengers, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025 with priorities centered on housing, healthcare, and public safety, trails at 9% amid limited resources and no comparable institutional support. A third candidate, Julie Le, further fragments the field but has not altered the consensus positioning. These structural advantages have kept trader sentiment stable in the absence of major developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,014Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the Minnesota 5th District Democratic primary on August 11 due to her status as the longtime incumbent, strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million compared with challengers, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025 with priorities centered on housing, healthcare, and public safety, trails at 9% amid limited resources and no comparable institutional support. A third candidate, Julie Le, further fragments the field but has not altered the consensus positioning. These structural advantages have kept trader sentiment stable in the absence of major developments in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$26,014Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ilhan Omar holds an 89% implied probability in the Minnesota 5th District Democratic primary on August 11 due to her status as the longtime incumbent, strong fundraising edge exceeding $5 million compared with challengers, and recent DFL endorsement secured in May 2026. Latonya Reeves, a labor leader and DNC member who launched her bid in late 2025 with priorities centered on housing, healthcare, and public safety, trails at 9% amid limited resources and no comparable institutional support. A third candidate, Julie Le, further fragments the field but has not altered the consensus positioning. These structural advantages have kept trader sentiment stable in the absence of major developments in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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