Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's overwhelming fundraising dominance—over $5 million raised through March 31 with $1.57 million cash on hand, per recent FEC disclosures—bolsters trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the August 11 Minnesota Democratic primary in the safely blue 5th District. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL leader and union organizer, trails at 14% amid her campaign's modest $31,000 raised, reflecting limited traction despite positioning as a community-focused alternative. Fellow challenger Julie Le's March entry as a former prosecutor has yet to shift dynamics, with no public polls available. Omar's history of fending off primary foes, including a 56-43% 2024 win over Don Samuels, underscores her incumbency edge ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and potential DFL convention endorsement battles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
MN-05 Democratic Primary Winner
$16,702 KL.
$16,702 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
86%
Latonya Reeves
14%
$16,702 KL.
$16,702 KL.
Aug 11, 2026
Ilhan Omar
$16,702 KL.
86%
Latonya Reeves
$0 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's overwhelming fundraising dominance—over $5 million raised through March 31 with $1.57 million cash on hand, per recent FEC disclosures—bolsters trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the August 11 Minnesota Democratic primary in the safely blue 5th District. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL leader and union organizer, trails at 14% amid her campaign's modest $31,000 raised, reflecting limited traction despite positioning as a community-focused alternative. Fellow challenger Julie Le's March entry as a former prosecutor has yet to shift dynamics, with no public polls available. Omar's history of fending off primary foes, including a 56-43% 2024 win over Don Samuels, underscores her incumbency edge ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and potential DFL convention endorsement battles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,702Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's overwhelming fundraising dominance—over $5 million raised through March 31 with $1.57 million cash on hand, per recent FEC disclosures—bolsters trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the August 11 Minnesota Democratic primary in the safely blue 5th District. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL leader and union organizer, trails at 14% amid her campaign's modest $31,000 raised, reflecting limited traction despite positioning as a community-focused alternative. Fellow challenger Julie Le's March entry as a former prosecutor has yet to shift dynamics, with no public polls available. Omar's history of fending off primary foes, including a 56-43% 2024 win over Don Samuels, underscores her incumbency edge ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and potential DFL convention endorsement battles.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$16,702Ngày kết thúc
Aug 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 19, 2025, 4:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Ilhan Omar's overwhelming fundraising dominance—over $5 million raised through March 31 with $1.57 million cash on hand, per recent FEC disclosures—bolsters trader consensus at 86% implied probability for the August 11 Minnesota Democratic primary in the safely blue 5th District. Challenger Latonya Reeves, a DFL leader and union organizer, trails at 14% amid her campaign's modest $31,000 raised, reflecting limited traction despite positioning as a community-focused alternative. Fellow challenger Julie Le's March entry as a former prosecutor has yet to shift dynamics, with no public polls available. Omar's history of fending off primary foes, including a 56-43% 2024 win over Don Samuels, underscores her incumbency edge ahead of the June 2 filing deadline and potential DFL convention endorsement battles.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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