Derek Merrin commands 88.5% trader consensus as the OH-09 Republican primary frontrunner on May 5, driven by his narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur—under 1% margin—and strong name recognition in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district following October 2025 map changes. State Rep. Josh Williams holds 10.3% despite recent top-fundraising claims, hampered by early April resurfacing of explicit Facebook posts that have fueled attacks and eroded support. Former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan's 7.5% reflects residency disputes raised by local GOP in late January and ongoing scandal allegations from rivals. With doors knocking intensifying and no public polls, traders view Merrin as the strongest nominee to challenge Kaptur.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDerek Merrin 89%
Madison Sheahan 8%
Alea Nadeem 2.9%
Josh Williams 2.4%
Derek Merrin
89%
Madison Sheahan
8%
Alea Nadeem
3%
Josh Williams
11%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Jacob Frost
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
Derek Merrin 89%
Madison Sheahan 8%
Alea Nadeem 2.9%
Josh Williams 2.4%
Derek Merrin
89%
Madison Sheahan
8%
Alea Nadeem
3%
Josh Williams
11%
Anthony Campbell
2%
Jacob Frost
2%
Wayne Kinsel
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Derek Merrin commands 88.5% trader consensus as the OH-09 Republican primary frontrunner on May 5, driven by his narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Rep. Marcy Kaptur—under 1% margin—and strong name recognition in the redrawn, more Republican-leaning district following October 2025 map changes. State Rep. Josh Williams holds 10.3% despite recent top-fundraising claims, hampered by early April resurfacing of explicit Facebook posts that have fueled attacks and eroded support. Former ICE Deputy Director Madison Sheahan's 7.5% reflects residency disputes raised by local GOP in late January and ongoing scandal allegations from rivals. With doors knocking intensifying and no public polls, traders view Merrin as the strongest nominee to challenge Kaptur.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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