Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for the June 23 NY-13 Democratic primary, bolstered by his strong incumbency in the Latino-majority Upper Manhattan district, robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from District Council 37 municipal workers union on March 25 and the Congressional Black Caucus in January. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 31% on momentum from Justice Democrats and NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing since late 2025, appealing to progressive voters on affordability and foreign policy amid Crain's New York April assessment of upset potential. Absent public polls, markets price Espaillat's institutional edge over Avila's grassroots effort, with early voting from June 13 key to turnout dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Adriano Espaillat 62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero 4.2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.2%
$12,370 KL.
$12,370 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
1%
James Felton Keith
1%
Megan Rodriguez
1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Adriano Espaillat 62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 31%
Oscar Romero 4.2%
Theo Chino-Tavarez 1.2%
$12,370 KL.
$12,370 KL.
Adriano Espaillat
62%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
31%
Oscar Romero
4%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
1%
James Felton Keith
1%
Megan Rodriguez
1%
Matt Miller
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 62% implied probability for the June 23 NY-13 Democratic primary, bolstered by his strong incumbency in the Latino-majority Upper Manhattan district, robust Q1 fundraising exceeding $1 million, and recent endorsements from District Council 37 municipal workers union on March 25 and the Congressional Black Caucus in January. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier commands 31% on momentum from Justice Democrats and NYC Democratic Socialists of America backing since late 2025, appealing to progressive voters on affordability and foreign policy amid Crain's New York April assessment of upset potential. Absent public polls, markets price Espaillat's institutional edge over Avila's grassroots effort, with early voting from June 13 key to turnout dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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