The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District features incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat facing a challenge from Darializa Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist organizer endorsed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the local DSA chapter in late May. Trader consensus currently assigns Chevalier a 57.5% implied probability of winning the nomination in the heavily Democratic district spanning Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods. Recent campaign activity, including Chevalier’s grassroots mobilization and the mayor’s public support, has narrowed Espaillat’s traditional advantage, though the incumbent maintains institutional backing from House Democratic leadership. A June 4 report on Chevalier’s previously deleted social media posts has introduced new scrutiny into the closing weeks. Minor candidates remain at negligible odds with little reported momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Darializa Avila Chevalier 57%
Adriano Espaillat 43%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$32,349 KL.
$32,349 KL.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
57%
Adriano Espaillat
43%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
Darializa Avila Chevalier 57%
Adriano Espaillat 43%
Matt Miller <1%
Oscar Romero <1%
$32,349 KL.
$32,349 KL.
Darializa Avila Chevalier
57%
Adriano Espaillat
43%
Matt Miller
<1%
Oscar Romero
<1%
Jaleel Amador
<1%
Theo Chino-Tavarez
<1%
James Felton Keith
<1%
Megan Rodriguez
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District features incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat facing a challenge from Darializa Avila Chevalier, a democratic socialist organizer endorsed by Mayor Zohran Mamdani and the local DSA chapter in late May. Trader consensus currently assigns Chevalier a 57.5% implied probability of winning the nomination in the heavily Democratic district spanning Upper Manhattan and northwest Bronx neighborhoods. Recent campaign activity, including Chevalier’s grassroots mobilization and the mayor’s public support, has narrowed Espaillat’s traditional advantage, though the incumbent maintains institutional backing from House Democratic leadership. A June 4 report on Chevalier’s previously deleted social media posts has introduced new scrutiny into the closing weeks. Minor candidates remain at negligible odds with little reported momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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