Hannah Pingree leads the Maine Democratic gubernatorial primary under ranked-choice voting due to her strong positioning in vote redistribution after the June 9 contest. Three candidates—Pingree, Shenna Bellows, and Troy Jackson—formed a May alliance to rank one another ahead of Nirav Shah and Angus King III, consolidating support against the early first-preference leader. Initial tallies showed Shah ahead at roughly 27%, followed by Pingree near 23% and the others clustered closely behind, sending the race to full RCV tabulation. Pre-primary surveys indicated Pingree pulling ahead in simulated final rounds once lower candidates were eliminated. Trader consensus prices now reflect these transfer patterns and the alliance's impact on second and later preferences, with limited remaining ballots or recounts as the key variables that could still shift the outcome.