The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEduardo da Fonte 25%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 25%
Túlio Gadêlha 25%
Mendonça Filho 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo da Fonte
25%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
25%
Túlio Gadêlha
25%
Mendonça Filho
24%
Gorett Bitu
24%
Samuel Timoteo
24%
Mariano Macedo
23%
Carlos Sant'Anna
23%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
23%
Marília Arraes
22%
Mailson da Silva Neto
22%
Humberto Costa
21%
Eduardo da Fonte 25%
Paulo Rubem Santiago 25%
Túlio Gadêlha 25%
Mendonça Filho 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo da Fonte
$0 KL.
25%
Paulo Rubem Santiago
$0 KL.
25%
Túlio Gadêlha
$0 KL.
25%
Mendonça Filho
$0 KL.
24%
Gorett Bitu
$0 KL.
24%
Samuel Timoteo
$0 KL.
24%
Mariano Macedo
$0 KL.
23%
Carlos Sant'Anna
$0 KL.
23%
Pastor Gilvan Costa
$0 KL.
23%
Marília Arraes
$0 KL.
22%
Mailson da Silva Neto
$0 KL.
22%
Humberto Costa
$0 KL.
21%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pernambuco is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco Senate race for the two seats remains highly competitive for second place due to a fragmented field of 12 candidates, with Marília Arraes frequently leading polls while several others cluster closely behind in the teens and low 20s. Recent candidate registrations finalized in early August 2026, alongside alliances tied to Governor Raquel Lyra and party shifts such as Túlio Gadêlha’s PSD move, have sustained dispersion in voter intentions across surveys from Real Time Big Data, Paraná Pesquisas, and others. No single contender has consolidated the remaining vote share after the likely first-place finisher, leaving outcomes sensitive to turnout patterns, regional strongholds in Recife versus the interior, and last-minute campaign momentum before October. This structure keeps implied probabilities elevated and clustered for multiple names.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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