Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrecipitation in Hong Kong in April?
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
160-170mm 100.0%
<130mm <1%
130-140mm <1%
140-150mm <1%
$152,182 KL.
$152,182 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
No
130-140mm
No
140-150mm
No
150-160mm
No
160-170mm
Yes
190-200mm
No
180-190
No
190mm+
No
160-170mm 100.0%
<130mm <1%
130-140mm <1%
140-150mm <1%
$152,182 KL.
$152,182 KL.
Apr 30, 2026
<130mm
$41,678 KL.
No
130-140mm
$19,677 KL.
No
140-150mm
$21,020 KL.
No
150-160mm
$29,574 KL.
No
160-170mm
$18,467 KL.
Yes
190-200mm
$5,369 KL.
No
180-190
$5,183 KL.
No
190mm+
$11,215 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ET
Khối lượng
$152,182Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between April 1 and April 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in April 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.
If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$152,182Ngày kết thúc
Apr 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 24, 2026, 6:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Hong Kong Observatory's finalized monthly weather summary, released around April 30, 2026, recorded total rainfall of 160.4 mm at the Observatory station for April, placing it squarely in the 160-170 mm range and driving trader consensus to full certainty on this outcome. This figure reflects scattered showers from troughs of low pressure, including 45.1 mm on April 5 and heavier falls exceeding 50 mm on Hong Kong Island on April 29, amid an exceptionally warm month. With data derived from official rain gauges and no revisions announced as of early May, the market pricing embodies skin-in-the-game confidence in this measurement; realistic challenges would require an unprecedented data correction or audit, which historical precedents show is rare for finalized summaries.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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