National Weather Service observations at Central Park observatory confirm approximately 2.3 inches of total precipitation for April 2026, placing the outcome squarely in the 2-3 inch bracket and yielding market-implied odds of 100% for this range, reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements to two decimal places. Persistent high-pressure ridging suppressed storm activity throughout the month, limiting rainfall accumulation to 2.12 inches through April 27, with negligible additions from dry conditions on the 28th-30th—well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 3.6 inches. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges would require rare NOAA post-audit revisions exceeding 0.1 inches; the final monthly climate summary from NWS is expected soon to solidify resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtPrecipitation in NYC in April?
2-3" 100.0%
<2" <1%
3-4" <1%
4-5" <1%
$63,934 KL.
$63,934 KL.
<2"
No
2-3"
Yes
3-4"
No
4-5"
No
5-6"
No
>6"
No
2-3" 100.0%
<2" <1%
3-4" <1%
4-5" <1%
$63,934 KL.
$63,934 KL.
<2"
No
2-3"
Yes
3-4"
No
4-5"
No
5-6"
No
>6"
No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Mar 24, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for April 2026 when the "Monthly summarized data" for "Central Park NY" is selected with the variable set to "Precipitation" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole month of April 2026.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 2 decimal places (e.g., 1.54), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
National Weather Service observations at Central Park observatory confirm approximately 2.3 inches of total precipitation for April 2026, placing the outcome squarely in the 2-3 inch bracket and yielding market-implied odds of 100% for this range, reflecting trader consensus backed by verified measurements to two decimal places. Persistent high-pressure ridging suppressed storm activity throughout the month, limiting rainfall accumulation to 2.12 inches through April 27, with negligible additions from dry conditions on the 28th-30th—well below the 1991-2020 climatological normal of 3.6 inches. While inherent measurement uncertainties exist, realistic challenges would require rare NOAA post-audit revisions exceeding 0.1 inches; the final monthly climate summary from NWS is expected soon to solidify resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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