In São Paulo’s Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Polls show Simone Tebet, Marina Silva, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado clustered within the margin of error, supported by national name recognition for the former ministers and local organizational strength for the congressional and state figures. The wide-open structure, with voters selecting up to two senators in a single round and limited time before official campaigning began in mid-August, sustains this parity. Separation could emerge from late alliances, endorsements by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas or President Lula, shifts in turnout among key voter blocs, or standout performances in scheduled debates that clarify policy differences on state priorities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSimone Tebet 36%
Soninha Francine 27%
Maíra de Souza 22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Simone Tebet
22%
Soninha Francine
27%
Maíra de Souza
22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
22%
Marina Silva
20%
André do Prado
19%
Weller Gonçalves
21%
Geraldo Rufino
19%
Guilherme Derrite
13%
Salles
12%
William Teixeira
8%
Marcio Alves
8%
Petter Maahs
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
7%
Simone Tebet 36%
Soninha Francine 27%
Maíra de Souza 22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 4, 2026
Simone Tebet
$40 KL.
22%
Soninha Francine
$20 KL.
27%
Maíra de Souza
$20 KL.
22%
Dra. Eliana Ferreira
$59 KL.
22%
Marina Silva
$20 KL.
20%
André do Prado
$20 KL.
19%
Weller Gonçalves
$58 KL.
21%
Geraldo Rufino
$20 KL.
19%
Guilherme Derrite
$55 KL.
13%
Salles
$20 KL.
12%
William Teixeira
$40 KL.
8%
Marcio Alves
$40 KL.
8%
Petter Maahs
$42 KL.
8%
Ednelson Cesaretti
$49 KL.
7%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo’s Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Polls show Simone Tebet, Marina Silva, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado clustered within the margin of error, supported by national name recognition for the former ministers and local organizational strength for the congressional and state figures. The wide-open structure, with voters selecting up to two senators in a single round and limited time before official campaigning began in mid-August, sustains this parity. Separation could emerge from late alliances, endorsements by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas or President Lula, shifts in turnout among key voter blocs, or standout performances in scheduled debates that clarify policy differences on state priorities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Khối lượng
$502Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo’s Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Polls show Simone Tebet, Marina Silva, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado clustered within the margin of error, supported by national name recognition for the former ministers and local organizational strength for the congressional and state figures. The wide-open structure, with voters selecting up to two senators in a single round and limited time before official campaigning began in mid-August, sustains this parity. Separation could emerge from late alliances, endorsements by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas or President Lula, shifts in turnout among key voter blocs, or standout performances in scheduled debates that clarify policy differences on state priorities.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$502Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...In São Paulo’s Senate race for two seats on October 4, trader consensus reflects a fragmented field where no candidate holds a decisive edge. Polls show Simone Tebet, Marina Silva, Guilherme Derrite, and André do Prado clustered within the margin of error, supported by national name recognition for the former ministers and local organizational strength for the congressional and state figures. The wide-open structure, with voters selecting up to two senators in a single round and limited time before official campaigning began in mid-August, sustains this parity. Separation could emerge from late alliances, endorsements by Governor Tarcísio de Freitas or President Lula, shifts in turnout among key voter blocs, or standout performances in scheduled debates that clarify policy differences on state priorities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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