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icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$393,374 KL.

Nov 3, 2026
Polymarket

$393,374 KL.

Polymarket

California

$17,232 KL.

98%

Texas

$19,692 KL.

98%

North Carolina

$11,839 KL.

96%

Ohio

$7,353 KL.

96%

Utah

$93,640 KL.

91%

Florida

$7,024 KL.

98%

Louisiana

$16,019 KL.

93%

Missouri

$5,494 KL.

93%

Virginia

$9,362 KL.

10%

Alabama

$16,806 KL.

91%

South Carolina

$28,897 KL.

<1%

Georgia

$8,469 KL.

6%

Kansas

$7,979 KL.

<1%

New Jersey

$6,034 KL.

4%

Indiana

$33,658 KL.

5%

Washington

$10,089 KL.

3%

Nebraska

$7,515 KL.

5%

Illinois

$11,855 KL.

2%

Minnesota

$15,860 KL.

5%

New York

$19,642 KL.

5%

Maryland

$16,339 KL.

4%

Wisconsin

$22,576 KL.

4%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Ten states have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court processes, including Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including Louisiana v. Callais, altered standards for racial gerrymandering claims under the Voting Rights Act, enabling or upholding several maps after prior injunctions. State legislatures in Republican-led states pursued voluntary mid-decade changes for partisan advantage, while litigation resolved remaining disputes in favor of the new lines in most cases. With primaries underway or imminent in affected states and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of further successful challenges before voting occurs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$393,374
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Ten states have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court processes, including Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including Louisiana v. Callais, altered standards for racial gerrymandering claims under the Voting Rights Act, enabling or upholding several maps after prior injunctions. State legislatures in Republican-led states pursued voluntary mid-decade changes for partisan advantage, while litigation resolved remaining disputes in favor of the new lines in most cases. With primaries underway or imminent in affected states and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of further successful challenges before voting occurs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$393,374
Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 22 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "California" ở mức 98%, tiếp theo là "Texas" ở mức 98%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 98¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 98% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" đã tạo $393.4K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 30, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?," duyệt 22 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" là "California" ở mức 98%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 98% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Texas" ở mức 98%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.