Ten states have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court processes, including Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including Louisiana v. Callais, altered standards for racial gerrymandering claims under the Voting Rights Act, enabling or upholding several maps after prior injunctions. State legislatures in Republican-led states pursued voluntary mid-decade changes for partisan advantage, while litigation resolved remaining disputes in favor of the new lines in most cases. With primaries underway or imminent in affected states and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of further successful challenges before voting occurs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$393,374 KL.
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
96%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
10%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
5%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
4%
$393,374 KL.
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
96%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
10%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
3%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
5%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
4%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through legislative action or court processes, including Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah. Recent U.S. Supreme Court rulings, including Louisiana v. Callais, altered standards for racial gerrymandering claims under the Voting Rights Act, enabling or upholding several maps after prior injunctions. State legislatures in Republican-led states pursued voluntary mid-decade changes for partisan advantage, while litigation resolved remaining disputes in favor of the new lines in most cases. With primaries underway or imminent in affected states and the November 3 general election approaching, trader consensus reflects the low likelihood of further successful challenges before voting occurs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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