Ongoing DOJ criminal investigations into former officials tied to the 2016 Trump-Russia probe, including probes of false statements to Congress, form the core driver of trader positioning in this market. John Brennan faces multiple active inquiries with grand jury activity, while James Comey has already been indicted on related charges with a scheduled trial in early 2027. Letitia James and select other state and federal figures draw secondary interest amid parallel scrutiny of prior Trump-related cases. Resolution hinges on whether indictments advance to arrests inside the narrow six-month window, with procedural timelines, venue selections, and any new referrals as key variables. Market prices embed the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these institutional and evidentiary factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$119,662 KL.
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
34%
John Brennan
32%
Letitia James
28%
James Clapper
24%
Brandon Johnson
26%
Tom Homan
18%
Loretta Lynch
11%
Anthony Fauci
8%
Candace Owens
7%
John Kerry
7%
Kash Patel
7%
Adam Schiff
6%
Hillary Clinton
6%
Lisa Cook
6%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Pam Bondi
5%
Lee Jun-seok
28%
Bill Clinton
4%
Joe Biden
4%
Barack Obama
4%
James Comey
17%
Benjamin Netanyahu
51%
Mahmoud Khalil
52%
Susan Rice
49%
$119,662 KL.
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$7,970 KL.
34%
John Brennan
$6,677 KL.
32%
Letitia James
$1,340 KL.
28%
James Clapper
$2,658 KL.
24%
Brandon Johnson
$1,887 KL.
26%
Tom Homan
$29,701 KL.
18%
Loretta Lynch
$452 KL.
11%
Anthony Fauci
$8,098 KL.
8%
Candace Owens
$257 KL.
7%
John Kerry
$99 KL.
7%
Kash Patel
$153 KL.
7%
Adam Schiff
$6,626 KL.
6%
Hillary Clinton
$15,653 KL.
6%
Lisa Cook
$590 KL.
6%
Gavin Newsom
$19,192 KL.
5%
Pam Bondi
$1,546 KL.
5%
Lee Jun-seok
$555 KL.
28%
Bill Clinton
$332 KL.
4%
Joe Biden
$2,047 KL.
4%
Barack Obama
$2,857 KL.
4%
James Comey
$9,244 KL.
17%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$275 KL.
51%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,190 KL.
52%
Susan Rice
$262 KL.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ criminal investigations into former officials tied to the 2016 Trump-Russia probe, including probes of false statements to Congress, form the core driver of trader positioning in this market. John Brennan faces multiple active inquiries with grand jury activity, while James Comey has already been indicted on related charges with a scheduled trial in early 2027. Letitia James and select other state and federal figures draw secondary interest amid parallel scrutiny of prior Trump-related cases. Resolution hinges on whether indictments advance to arrests inside the narrow six-month window, with procedural timelines, venue selections, and any new referrals as key variables. Market prices embed the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these institutional and evidentiary factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$119,662Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing DOJ criminal investigations into former officials tied to the 2016 Trump-Russia probe, including probes of false statements to Congress, form the core driver of trader positioning in this market. John Brennan faces multiple active inquiries with grand jury activity, while James Comey has already been indicted on related charges with a scheduled trial in early 2027. Letitia James and select other state and federal figures draw secondary interest amid parallel scrutiny of prior Trump-related cases. Resolution hinges on whether indictments advance to arrests inside the narrow six-month window, with procedural timelines, venue selections, and any new referrals as key variables. Market prices embed the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these institutional and evidentiary factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$119,662Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing DOJ criminal investigations into former officials tied to the 2016 Trump-Russia probe, including probes of false statements to Congress, form the core driver of trader positioning in this market. John Brennan faces multiple active inquiries with grand jury activity, while James Comey has already been indicted on related charges with a scheduled trial in early 2027. Letitia James and select other state and federal figures draw secondary interest amid parallel scrutiny of prior Trump-related cases. Resolution hinges on whether indictments advance to arrests inside the narrow six-month window, with procedural timelines, venue selections, and any new referrals as key variables. Market prices embed the wisdom-of-crowds assessment of these institutional and evidentiary factors.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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