Legal proceedings and congressional oversight represent the main drivers of trader assessments in this market, with recent Senate hearings featuring figures such as Anthony Fauci invoking constitutional protections drawing attention to potential referrals or indictments. State attorneys general and federal prosecutors continue reviewing cases involving public officials and former agency leaders, though resolution before the December 31, 2026 deadline depends on charging decisions, grand jury timelines, and any appeals. Historical patterns show arrests of prominent political actors remain infrequent absent clear evidence thresholds or partisan shifts in enforcement priorities. Traders weigh these procedural hurdles against scheduled committee actions and ongoing investigations that could accelerate outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$273,191 KL.
Anthony Fauci
11%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
16%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
3%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
26%
James Clapper
20%
Letitia James
16%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Bill Clinton
2%
Loretta Lynch
13%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
11%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
6%
Pam Bondi
3%
Tom Homan
8%
Kash Patel
2%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
7%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$273,191 KL.
Anthony Fauci
$69,948 KL.
11%
John Brennan
$10,265 KL.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$19,802 KL.
16%
Adam Schiff
$16,031 KL.
3%
Barack Obama
$26,240 KL.
3%
James Comey
$9,577 KL.
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,241 KL.
26%
James Clapper
$4,817 KL.
20%
Letitia James
$2,304 KL.
16%
Hillary Clinton
$22,159 KL.
4%
Bill Clinton
$880 KL.
2%
Loretta Lynch
$2,224 KL.
13%
Susan Rice
$302 KL.
9%
Candace Owens
$257 KL.
11%
Gavin Newsom
$34,744 KL.
5%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,718 KL.
5%
John Kerry
$193 KL.
6%
Pam Bondi
$1,561 KL.
3%
Tom Homan
$38,765 KL.
8%
Kash Patel
$323 KL.
2%
Brandon Johnson
$3,067 KL.
12%
Lisa Cook
$729 KL.
7%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 KL.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,249 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legal proceedings and congressional oversight represent the main drivers of trader assessments in this market, with recent Senate hearings featuring figures such as Anthony Fauci invoking constitutional protections drawing attention to potential referrals or indictments. State attorneys general and federal prosecutors continue reviewing cases involving public officials and former agency leaders, though resolution before the December 31, 2026 deadline depends on charging decisions, grand jury timelines, and any appeals. Historical patterns show arrests of prominent political actors remain infrequent absent clear evidence thresholds or partisan shifts in enforcement priorities. Traders weigh these procedural hurdles against scheduled committee actions and ongoing investigations that could accelerate outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$273,191Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Legal proceedings and congressional oversight represent the main drivers of trader assessments in this market, with recent Senate hearings featuring figures such as Anthony Fauci invoking constitutional protections drawing attention to potential referrals or indictments. State attorneys general and federal prosecutors continue reviewing cases involving public officials and former agency leaders, though resolution before the December 31, 2026 deadline depends on charging decisions, grand jury timelines, and any appeals. Historical patterns show arrests of prominent political actors remain infrequent absent clear evidence thresholds or partisan shifts in enforcement priorities. Traders weigh these procedural hurdles against scheduled committee actions and ongoing investigations that could accelerate outcomes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$273,191Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Legal proceedings and congressional oversight represent the main drivers of trader assessments in this market, with recent Senate hearings featuring figures such as Anthony Fauci invoking constitutional protections drawing attention to potential referrals or indictments. State attorneys general and federal prosecutors continue reviewing cases involving public officials and former agency leaders, though resolution before the December 31, 2026 deadline depends on charging decisions, grand jury timelines, and any appeals. Historical patterns show arrests of prominent political actors remain infrequent absent clear evidence thresholds or partisan shifts in enforcement priorities. Traders weigh these procedural hurdles against scheduled committee actions and ongoing investigations that could accelerate outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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