Trader sentiment in this market reflects assessments of legal exposure for former U.S. officials and international figures amid ongoing investigations, congressional oversight, and potential executive or judicial actions through late 2026. John Brennan leads outcomes due to prior scrutiny over intelligence matters, while Anthony Fauci and James Comey draw interest from public health and FBI-related probes. Lower-priced names like Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero tie to impeachment proceedings, prior executive decisions, or foreign legal processes. With resolution by December 31, 2026, key catalysts include any new indictments, court rulings, or agency referrals in the remaining months, alongside procedural timelines for federal or state cases. No major arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWho will be arrested before 2027?
Who will be arrested before 2027?
$272,591 KL.
Anthony Fauci
11%
John Brennan
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
16%
Adam Schiff
3%
Barack Obama
3%
James Comey
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
25%
James Clapper
20%
Letitia James
18%
Hillary Clinton
4%
Bill Clinton
2%
Loretta Lynch
13%
Susan Rice
9%
Candace Owens
11%
Gavin Newsom
5%
Benjamin Netanyahu
5%
John Kerry
6%
Pam Bondi
3%
Tom Homan
8%
Kash Patel
2%
Brandon Johnson
12%
Lisa Cook
7%
Lee Jun-seok
11%
Joe Biden
2%
$272,591 KL.
Anthony Fauci
$69,418 KL.
11%
John Brennan
$10,240 KL.
29%
José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero
$19,802 KL.
16%
Adam Schiff
$16,031 KL.
3%
Barack Obama
$26,194 KL.
3%
James Comey
$9,577 KL.
8%
Mahmoud Khalil
$1,241 KL.
25%
James Clapper
$4,817 KL.
20%
Letitia James
$2,304 KL.
18%
Hillary Clinton
$22,159 KL.
4%
Bill Clinton
$880 KL.
2%
Loretta Lynch
$2,224 KL.
13%
Susan Rice
$302 KL.
9%
Candace Owens
$257 KL.
11%
Gavin Newsom
$34,744 KL.
5%
Benjamin Netanyahu
$1,718 KL.
5%
John Kerry
$193 KL.
6%
Pam Bondi
$1,561 KL.
3%
Tom Homan
$38,765 KL.
8%
Kash Patel
$323 KL.
2%
Brandon Johnson
$3,067 KL.
12%
Lisa Cook
$729 KL.
7%
Lee Jun-seok
$794 KL.
11%
Joe Biden
$5,249 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this market reflects assessments of legal exposure for former U.S. officials and international figures amid ongoing investigations, congressional oversight, and potential executive or judicial actions through late 2026. John Brennan leads outcomes due to prior scrutiny over intelligence matters, while Anthony Fauci and James Comey draw interest from public health and FBI-related probes. Lower-priced names like Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero tie to impeachment proceedings, prior executive decisions, or foreign legal processes. With resolution by December 31, 2026, key catalysts include any new indictments, court rulings, or agency referrals in the remaining months, alongside procedural timelines for federal or state cases. No major arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$272,591Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in this market reflects assessments of legal exposure for former U.S. officials and international figures amid ongoing investigations, congressional oversight, and potential executive or judicial actions through late 2026. John Brennan leads outcomes due to prior scrutiny over intelligence matters, while Anthony Fauci and James Comey draw interest from public health and FBI-related probes. Lower-priced names like Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero tie to impeachment proceedings, prior executive decisions, or foreign legal processes. With resolution by December 31, 2026, key catalysts include any new indictments, court rulings, or agency referrals in the remaining months, alongside procedural timelines for federal or state cases. No major arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$272,591Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 5:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in this market reflects assessments of legal exposure for former U.S. officials and international figures amid ongoing investigations, congressional oversight, and potential executive or judicial actions through late 2026. John Brennan leads outcomes due to prior scrutiny over intelligence matters, while Anthony Fauci and James Comey draw interest from public health and FBI-related probes. Lower-priced names like Adam Schiff, Barack Obama, and José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero tie to impeachment proceedings, prior executive decisions, or foreign legal processes. With resolution by December 31, 2026, key catalysts include any new indictments, court rulings, or agency referrals in the remaining months, alongside procedural timelines for federal or state cases. No major arrests among listed individuals have occurred in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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