**President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 after winning an early election, benefits from institutional protections that make arrest before 2027 highly improbable.** Criminal proceedings tied to pre-presidency allegations—including Seongnam FC sponsorships, Daejang-dong development, Gyeonggi corporate card use, and election law violations—were suspended upon inauguration and are slated to resume only after his term ends in 2030. His Democratic Party has advanced reviews through the Ministry of Justice’s Prosecution Future Committee to examine alleged prior abuses of prosecutorial power, with several cases selected for truth-finding investigations that could lead to charge withdrawals. Recent police dismissals of new complaints, including over alleged North Korea remittances and election law posts, further reduce near-term legal exposure. No active arrest warrants or indictments have emerged in 2026, and presidential authority over appointments and investigations reinforces the trader consensus reflected in the 92% “No” pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8% khả năng
$538,995 KL.
$538,995 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
8% khả năng
$538,995 KL.
$538,995 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 after winning an early election, benefits from institutional protections that make arrest before 2027 highly improbable.** Criminal proceedings tied to pre-presidency allegations—including Seongnam FC sponsorships, Daejang-dong development, Gyeonggi corporate card use, and election law violations—were suspended upon inauguration and are slated to resume only after his term ends in 2030.
His Democratic Party has advanced reviews through the Ministry of Justice’s Prosecution Future Committee to examine alleged prior abuses of prosecutorial power, with several cases selected for truth-finding investigations that could lead to charge withdrawals. Recent police dismissals of new complaints, including over alleged North Korea remittances and election law posts, further reduce near-term legal exposure. No active arrest warrants or indictments have emerged in 2026, and presidential authority over appointments and investigations reinforces the trader consensus reflected in the 92% “No” pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Khối lượng
$538,995Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 after winning an early election, benefits from institutional protections that make arrest before 2027 highly improbable.** Criminal proceedings tied to pre-presidency allegations—including Seongnam FC sponsorships, Daejang-dong development, Gyeonggi corporate card use, and election law violations—were suspended upon inauguration and are slated to resume only after his term ends in 2030.
His Democratic Party has advanced reviews through the Ministry of Justice’s Prosecution Future Committee to examine alleged prior abuses of prosecutorial power, with several cases selected for truth-finding investigations that could lead to charge withdrawals. Recent police dismissals of new complaints, including over alleged North Korea remittances and election law posts, further reduce near-term legal exposure. No active arrest warrants or indictments have emerged in 2026, and presidential authority over appointments and investigations reinforces the trader consensus reflected in the 92% “No” pricing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$538,995Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung, who assumed office in June 2025 after winning an early election, benefits from institutional protections that make arrest before 2027 highly improbable.** Criminal proceedings tied to pre-presidency allegations—including Seongnam FC sponsorships, Daejang-dong development, Gyeonggi corporate card use, and election law violations—were suspended upon inauguration and are slated to resume only after his term ends in 2030. His Democratic Party has advanced reviews through the Ministry of Justice’s Prosecution Future Committee to examine alleged prior abuses of prosecutorial power, with several cases selected for truth-finding investigations that could lead to charge withdrawals. Recent police dismissals of new complaints, including over alleged North Korea remittances and election law posts, further reduce near-term legal exposure. No active arrest warrants or indictments have emerged in 2026, and presidential authority over appointments and investigations reinforces the trader consensus reflected in the 92% “No” pricing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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