President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required to pass an impeachment motion highly unlikely and driving trader consensus toward "No" at 91.7%. This positioning stems from his March 2025 appellate court acquittal on election law charges, clearing key legal hurdles ahead of his snap election victory following former President Yoon Suk Yeol's removal. Recent developments, including Lee's April 2026 policy announcements on regulatory reforms and cabinet reshuffles, reflect governance stability amid ongoing conservative criticisms but no viable opposition push for impeachment proceedings. While political polarization persists, absent a major scandal or Constitutional Court shift, the high bar for National Assembly votes and subsequent court review sustains low odds of impeachment before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required to pass an impeachment motion highly unlikely and driving trader consensus toward "No" at 91.7%. This positioning stems from his March 2025 appellate court acquittal on election law charges, clearing key legal hurdles ahead of his snap election victory following former President Yoon Suk Yeol's removal. Recent developments, including Lee's April 2026 policy announcements on regulatory reforms and cabinet reshuffles, reflect governance stability amid ongoing conservative criticisms but no viable opposition push for impeachment proceedings. While political polarization persists, absent a major scandal or Constitutional Court shift, the high bar for National Assembly votes and subsequent court review sustains low odds of impeachment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,124Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required to pass an impeachment motion highly unlikely and driving trader consensus toward "No" at 91.7%. This positioning stems from his March 2025 appellate court acquittal on election law charges, clearing key legal hurdles ahead of his snap election victory following former President Yoon Suk Yeol's removal. Recent developments, including Lee's April 2026 policy announcements on regulatory reforms and cabinet reshuffles, reflect governance stability amid ongoing conservative criticisms but no viable opposition push for impeachment proceedings. While political polarization persists, absent a major scandal or Constitutional Court shift, the high bar for National Assembly votes and subsequent court review sustains low odds of impeachment before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$6,124Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Lee Jae-myung's Democratic Party holds a commanding majority in South Korea's National Assembly, making the two-thirds supermajority required to pass an impeachment motion highly unlikely and driving trader consensus toward "No" at 91.7%. This positioning stems from his March 2025 appellate court acquittal on election law charges, clearing key legal hurdles ahead of his snap election victory following former President Yoon Suk Yeol's removal. Recent developments, including Lee's April 2026 policy announcements on regulatory reforms and cabinet reshuffles, reflect governance stability amid ongoing conservative criticisms but no viable opposition push for impeachment proceedings. While political polarization persists, absent a major scandal or Constitutional Court shift, the high bar for National Assembly votes and subsequent court review sustains low odds of impeachment before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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