South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$149,639 KL.
$149,639 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$149,639 KL.
$149,639 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$149,639Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$149,639Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean courts convicted former President Yoon Suk-yeol of insurrection in February 2026 and imposed a life sentence tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, leaving him detained at the Seoul Detention Centre. A January 2026 detention warrant extended custody for an additional six months, and appeals processes in such high-profile cases typically span years without interim release. No executive pardon, constitutional relief, or procedural reversal has emerged since the verdict. These developments align with trader consensus reflected in the 90% probability on “No,” as historical patterns for similar convictions show sustained incarceration pending full appellate review. Upcoming hearings or political shifts could theoretically alter timelines, yet none are scheduled to resolve before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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