Traders see Claude's August downtime clustered between 8–13 days because Anthropic's large language model infrastructure faces ongoing scaling pressure from surging API and claude.ai usage. Competitive dynamics with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's models drive rapid feature releases and user growth that can strain availability, while historical outage patterns for similar AI platforms suggest moderate reliability challenges rather than extreme stability or frequent failures. Key differentiators include Anthropic's focus on safety-aligned training that may slow emergency patches, regional data-center capacity, and any unannounced model updates that temporarily increase load. The tight 35.5%–33% split between the top bins reflects uncertainty over whether recent engineering improvements will keep daily disruptions closer to single digits or push totals higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật11-13 31%
8-10 28%
5-7 12%
14+ 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
<5
5%
5-7
12%
8-10
48%
11-13
31%
14+
7%
11-13 31%
8-10 28%
5-7 12%
14+ 7%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 31, 2026
<5
$531 KL.
5%
5-7
$198 KL.
12%
8-10
$40 KL.
48%
11-13
$0 KL.
31%
14+
$476 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Traders see Claude's August downtime clustered between 8–13 days because Anthropic's large language model infrastructure faces ongoing scaling pressure from surging API and claude.ai usage. Competitive dynamics with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's models drive rapid feature releases and user growth that can strain availability, while historical outage patterns for similar AI platforms suggest moderate reliability challenges rather than extreme stability or frequent failures. Key differentiators include Anthropic's focus on safety-aligned training that may slow emergency patches, regional data-center capacity, and any unannounced model updates that temporarily increase load. The tight 35.5%–33% split between the top bins reflects uncertainty over whether recent engineering improvements will keep daily disruptions closer to single digits or push totals higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,245Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Traders see Claude's August downtime clustered between 8–13 days because Anthropic's large language model infrastructure faces ongoing scaling pressure from surging API and claude.ai usage. Competitive dynamics with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's models drive rapid feature releases and user growth that can strain availability, while historical outage patterns for similar AI platforms suggest moderate reliability challenges rather than extreme stability or frequent failures. Key differentiators include Anthropic's focus on safety-aligned training that may slow emergency patches, regional data-center capacity, and any unannounced model updates that temporarily increase load. The tight 35.5%–33% split between the top bins reflects uncertainty over whether recent engineering improvements will keep daily disruptions closer to single digits or push totals higher.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in August 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Khối lượng
$1,245Ngày kết thúc
Aug 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see Claude's August downtime clustered between 8–13 days because Anthropic's large language model infrastructure faces ongoing scaling pressure from surging API and claude.ai usage. Competitive dynamics with OpenAI's GPT series and Google's models drive rapid feature releases and user growth that can strain availability, while historical outage patterns for similar AI platforms suggest moderate reliability challenges rather than extreme stability or frequent failures. Key differentiators include Anthropic's focus on safety-aligned training that may slow emergency patches, regional data-center capacity, and any unannounced model updates that temporarily increase load. The tight 35.5%–33% split between the top bins reflects uncertainty over whether recent engineering improvements will keep daily disruptions closer to single digits or push totals higher.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp