Monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in mid-2026. The ECB delivered its first 25-basis-point rate hike since 2023 in June, citing elevated inflation risks from energy prices and lifting 2026 headline inflation projections to 3.0 percent, while markets now price additional tightening. In contrast, the Fed faces expectations of further easing later in the year amid softer growth signals, narrowing the yield differential that has historically supported the dollar. The pair trades near 1.16 after ranging between roughly 1.14 and 1.20 year-to-date, with traders monitoring upcoming ECB and FOMC decisions, Eurozone and U.S. inflation releases, and any escalation in Middle East energy tensions that could shift risk sentiment and capital flows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$77,465 KL.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
19%
↑ 1.26
30%
↑ 1.24
35%
↑ 1.22
50%
↑ 1.20
62%
↓ 1.14
69%
↓ 1.12
27%
↓ 1.10
23%
↓ 1.05
4%
↓ 1.00
5%
$77,465 KL.
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
9%
↑ 1.30
19%
↑ 1.26
30%
↑ 1.24
35%
↑ 1.22
50%
↑ 1.20
62%
↓ 1.14
69%
↓ 1.12
27%
↓ 1.10
23%
↓ 1.05
4%
↓ 1.00
5%
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the European Central Bank and Federal Reserve remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD sentiment in mid-2026. The ECB delivered its first 25-basis-point rate hike since 2023 in June, citing elevated inflation risks from energy prices and lifting 2026 headline inflation projections to 3.0 percent, while markets now price additional tightening. In contrast, the Fed faces expectations of further easing later in the year amid softer growth signals, narrowing the yield differential that has historically supported the dollar. The pair trades near 1.16 after ranging between roughly 1.14 and 1.20 year-to-date, with traders monitoring upcoming ECB and FOMC decisions, Eurozone and U.S. inflation releases, and any escalation in Middle East energy tensions that could shift risk sentiment and capital flows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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