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Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

icon for Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council  in 2026?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

7% khả năng
Polymarket

$100,301 KL.

7% khả năng
Polymarket

$100,301 KL.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials explicitly ruled out any departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council following the April 2026 announcement withdrawing from OPEC and OPEC+, stating that multilateral ties were under review but no further exits were planned. This clarification came amid speculation fueled by Saudi-Emirati energy rivalries and regional security strains from the Iran conflict, yet GCC coordination on defense and economic issues has continued without interruption. Traders assign the 93% probability to "No" because no formal statements, diplomatic signals, or procedural steps indicate an impending UAE exit, and historical patterns show Gulf states resolving disputes within the bloc rather than dissolving membership. Upcoming GCC summits and shared responses to external threats reinforce the expectation of continuity through the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$100,301
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.UAE officials explicitly ruled out any departure from the Gulf Cooperation Council following the April 2026 announcement withdrawing from OPEC and OPEC+, stating that multilateral ties were under review but no further exits were planned. This clarification came amid speculation fueled by Saudi-Emirati energy rivalries and regional security strains from the Iran conflict, yet GCC coordination on defense and economic issues has continued without interruption. Traders assign the 93% probability to "No" because no formal statements, diplomatic signals, or procedural steps indicate an impending UAE exit, and historical patterns show Gulf states resolving disputes within the bloc rather than dissolving membership. Upcoming GCC summits and shared responses to external threats reinforce the expectation of continuity through the remainder of 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect.

Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$100,301
Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026
Thị trường mở
Apr 28, 2026, 3:54 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần "Có" hoặc "Không" dựa trên việc họ tin sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra hay không. Xác suất cộng đồng hiện tại là 7% cho "Yes." Ví dụ, nếu "Có" ở giá 7¢, thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 7% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?" đã tạo $100.3K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Apr 28, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?," chỉ cần chọn bạn tin câu trả lời là "Có" hay "Không." Mỗi phía có giá hiện tại phản ánh xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" và kết quả là "Có," mỗi cổ phần trả $1. Nếu kết quả là "Không," cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Xác suất hiện tại cho "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?" là 7% cho "Yes." Điều này có nghĩa cộng đồng Polymarket hiện tin rằng có 7% khả năng sự kiện này sẽ xảy ra. Tỷ lệ này cập nhật theo thời gian thực dựa trên giao dịch thực tế, cung cấp tín hiệu liên tục cập nhật về điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.