Mercedes' dominance in the opening three Grands Prix of the 2026 season under new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations has propelled George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus for the Drivers' Championship, with implied probabilities of 43.5% and 30.4% respectively. Antonelli's back-to-back victories in China and Japan—his maiden wins—catapulted him to the lead on 72 points as the youngest-ever championship leader, while Russell's Australia triumph and consistent podiums netted 63 points, underscoring the Silver Arrows' 1-2 finishes. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (6.5%, 49 points) and Lewis Hamilton (3.5%, 41 points) trail amid Mercedes' superior race pace, with Red Bull's Max Verstappen (2.1%) hampered by early struggles, reflecting traders' emphasis on Mercedes' constructor edge and Russell's experience in the intra-team battle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於喬治·羅素 44%
Kimi Antonelli 30.4%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 6.5%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里 4.8%
$106,365,132 交易量
$106,365,132 交易量
喬治·羅素
44%
Kimi Antonelli
30%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
7%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
3%
蘭多·諾里斯
3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
喬治·羅素 44%
Kimi Antonelli 30.4%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾 6.5%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里 4.8%
$106,365,132 交易量
$106,365,132 交易量
喬治·羅素
44%
Kimi Antonelli
30%
查爾斯·勒克萊爾
7%
奧斯卡·皮亞斯特里
5%
劉易斯·漢密爾頓
3%
蘭多·諾里斯
3%
馬克斯·維斯塔潘
2%
費爾南多·阿隆索
1%
尼科·霍肯伯格
1%
奧利弗·貝爾曼
1%
Esteban Ocon
<1%
皮埃爾·蓋斯利
<1%
利亞姆·勞森
<1%
Arvid Lindblad
<1%
卡洛斯·塞恩斯小
<1%
塞爾吉奧·佩雷茲
<1%
伊薩克·哈贾爾
<1%
蘭斯·斯特羅爾
<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto
<1%
Franco Colapinto
<1%
亞歷山大·阿爾本
<1%
瓦爾特利·鮑達斯
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
If multiple drivers tie for first place in the drivers standings, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Drivers’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 F1 Drivers Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes' dominance in the opening three Grands Prix of the 2026 season under new power unit and active aerodynamics regulations has propelled George Russell and Kimi Antonelli to the top of trader consensus for the Drivers' Championship, with implied probabilities of 43.5% and 30.4% respectively. Antonelli's back-to-back victories in China and Japan—his maiden wins—catapulted him to the lead on 72 points as the youngest-ever championship leader, while Russell's Australia triumph and consistent podiums netted 63 points, underscoring the Silver Arrows' 1-2 finishes. Ferrari's Charles Leclerc (6.5%, 49 points) and Lewis Hamilton (3.5%, 41 points) trail amid Mercedes' superior race pace, with Red Bull's Max Verstappen (2.1%) hampered by early struggles, reflecting traders' emphasis on Mercedes' constructor edge and Russell's experience in the intra-team battle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions