Mercedes holds a commanding 77% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after securing pole position and victory in each of the opening three Grands Prix of 2026—Australia, China, and Japan—amassing 135 points and a 45-point lead over Ferrari. The W17's superior energy management under new hybrid power unit regulations and a temporary compression ratio advantage (closing after Monaco) have propelled Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to the drivers' top two spots. Ferrari shows credible pace as the primary challenger but suffered strategic setbacks, like in Australia, while McLaren grabbed a Japan podium amid recovery efforts. Red Bull lags with RB22 struggles, pricing them at 1.7%, as rivals eye Miami upgrades to ignite the development race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅賽德斯 77%
法拉利 12%
麥拉倫 7.5%
紅牛車隊 1.7%
$14,428,009 交易量
$14,428,009 交易量

梅賽德斯
77%

法拉利
12%

麥拉倫
8%

紅牛車隊
2%

Racing Bulls
<1%

哈斯
<1%

Alpine
<1%

威廉斯
<1%

阿斯頓馬丁
<1%

奧迪
<1%

凱迪拉克
<1%
梅賽德斯 77%
法拉利 12%
麥拉倫 7.5%
紅牛車隊 1.7%
$14,428,009 交易量
$14,428,009 交易量

梅賽德斯
77%

法拉利
12%

麥拉倫
8%

紅牛車隊
2%

Racing Bulls
<1%

哈斯
<1%

Alpine
<1%

威廉斯
<1%

阿斯頓馬丁
<1%

奧迪
<1%

凱迪拉克
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes holds a commanding 77% implied probability in the F1 Constructors' Championship market after securing pole position and victory in each of the opening three Grands Prix of 2026—Australia, China, and Japan—amassing 135 points and a 45-point lead over Ferrari. The W17's superior energy management under new hybrid power unit regulations and a temporary compression ratio advantage (closing after Monaco) have propelled Kimi Antonelli and George Russell to the drivers' top two spots. Ferrari shows credible pace as the primary challenger but suffered strategic setbacks, like in Australia, while McLaren grabbed a Japan podium amid recovery efforts. Red Bull lags with RB22 struggles, pricing them at 1.7%, as rivals eye Miami upgrades to ignite the development race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions