Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 262 points after early-season races, well clear of Ferrari on 190, McLaren on 141, and Red Bull on 89, reflecting trader consensus on their 83.5% implied probability. The Silver Arrows have capitalized on strong power-unit performance and consistent results from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell under the new regulations, securing multiple victories including the Australian Grand Prix. Ferrari trails despite competitive showings from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, while McLaren and Red Bull lag further back amid adaptation challenges to the revised technical rules. Recent form and points gaps have reinforced Mercedes' position as the frontrunner in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於梅賽德斯 84%
法拉利 10.0%
麥拉倫 2.3%
紅牛車隊 1.1%
$24,371,680 交易量
$24,371,680 交易量

梅賽德斯
84%

法拉利
10%

麥拉倫
2%

紅牛車隊
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

哈斯
1%

威廉斯
<1%

奧迪
<1%

凱迪拉克
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Alpine
<1%
梅賽德斯 84%
法拉利 10.0%
麥拉倫 2.3%
紅牛車隊 1.1%
$24,371,680 交易量
$24,371,680 交易量

梅賽德斯
84%

法拉利
10%

麥拉倫
2%

紅牛車隊
1%

阿斯頓馬丁
1%

哈斯
1%

威廉斯
<1%

奧迪
<1%

凱迪拉克
<1%

Racing Bulls
<1%

Alpine
<1%
This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
市場開放時間: Dec 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known.
In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.”
If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mercedes leads the 2026 F1 Constructors' Championship with 262 points after early-season races, well clear of Ferrari on 190, McLaren on 141, and Red Bull on 89, reflecting trader consensus on their 83.5% implied probability. The Silver Arrows have capitalized on strong power-unit performance and consistent results from drivers Kimi Antonelli and George Russell under the new regulations, securing multiple victories including the Australian Grand Prix. Ferrari trails despite competitive showings from Lewis Hamilton and Charles Leclerc, while McLaren and Red Bull lag further back amid adaptation challenges to the revised technical rules. Recent form and points gaps have reinforced Mercedes' position as the frontrunner in the wisdom-of-crowds pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions