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運動·NCAA

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

Market icon
運動·NCAA

2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍

亞利桑那 26.7%

密西根 24%

杜克 24%

伊利諾伊 12.0%

Polymarket

$21,966,660 交易量

亞利桑那 26.7%

密西根 24%

杜克 24%

伊利諾伊 12.0%

Polymarket

$21,966,660 交易量

亞利桑那

$1,050,237 交易量

27%

密西根

$1,049,572 交易量

24%

杜克

$910,371 交易量

24%

伊利諾伊

$1,276,526 交易量

12%

康乃狄克

$2,308,388 交易量

6%

普渡大學

$3,280,181 交易量

5%

田納西

$1,069,093 交易量

3%

愛荷華

$947,263 交易量

2%

阿拉巴馬

$946,975 交易量

<1%

密西根州立大學

$922,891 交易量

<1%

愛荷華州立大學

$2,574,008 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

With all three top-seeded contenders—Arizona, Michigan, and Duke—advancing unscathed through the first two rounds of the 2026 NCAA Tournament, trader consensus reflects their near-identical elite profiles: Arizona's 33-2 record and dominant 109-88 Sweet 16 rout of Arkansas, Michigan's resilient 31-3 run despite minor injuries like L.J. Cason's earlier ACL tear, and Duke's 32-2 mark bolstered by guard Caleb Foster's return from a fractured foot ahead of St. John's. Big Ten depth via surging Illinois keeps pressure on the leaders, while balanced brackets and health edges maintain the razor-thin 23-27% implied probabilities among the frontrunners, underscoring March Madness' upset potential in Elite Eight matchups.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 70+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "亞利桑那" at 27%, followed by "密西根" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" has generated $22 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 31, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍," browse the 70+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" is "亞利桑那" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "密西根" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026年NCAA錦標賽冠軍" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.