Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$265-$270 29%
$270-$275 27%
$275-$280 22%
$260-$265 17%
<$240
11%
$240-$245
11%
$245-$250
11%
$250-$255
9%
$255-$260
11%
$260-$265
17%
$265-$270
29%
$270-$275
27%
$275-$280
22%
$280-$285
11%
>$285
14%
$265-$270 29%
$270-$275 27%
$275-$280 22%
$260-$265 17%
<$240
11%
$240-$245
11%
$245-$250
11%
$250-$255
9%
$255-$260
11%
$260-$265
17%
$265-$270
29%
$270-$275
27%
$275-$280
22%
$280-$285
11%
>$285
14%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市場開放時間: Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects balanced uncertainty for Apple (AAPL)'s April 25 close, with all price bins—including $260-$265, $265-$270, and $270-$275—trading at 49% implied probabilities amid low directional conviction. Shares closed April 17 at $270.23, up 2.6% on robust China Q1 iPhone shipments rising 20% year-over-year against a 4% market decline, bolstering 19% local share alongside BNP Paribas' Outperform upgrade and $300 price target tied to memory cost tailwinds. Consensus analyst targets average $301, yet fiscal Q2 earnings on April 30—post-resolution—leave swing factors like tech rotation and macro risk appetite to dictate near-term positioning, maintaining closely matched odds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions