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FOMC 預測與賠率

·
Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

100%

No change

$192M 交易量

$14M today

$27M Liq.

15

Ends 1 天內

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

94%

No change

$11M 交易量

$275K today

$1M Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

85%

No change

$4M 交易量

$451K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

92%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$980K 交易量

$108K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

100%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$667K 交易量

$124K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

98%

Good Afternoon

$135K 交易量

$46.2K Liq.

4

Ends 1 天內

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

85%

1

$74.2K 交易量

$40.4K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

70%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$9.1K 交易量

$133K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

16%

September Meeting

$54.1K 交易量

$109K Liq.

Ends 6 個月內

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

41%

0 (0 bps)

$21M 交易量

$142K today

$2M Liq.

58

Ends 8 個月內

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

62%

December Meeting

$1M 交易量

$185K Liq.

17

Ends 大約 2 個月內

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

39%

3.75%

$6M 交易量

$347K Liq.

6

Ends 8 個月內

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

59%

↓ 3.25%

$1M 交易量

$261K Liq.

5

Ends 8 個月內

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

12%

$103K 交易量

$16.5K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

11%

$3.6K 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

80%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$109K 交易量

$43.9K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

US bank failure by April 30?

US bank failure by April 30?

3%

$14.9K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 2 天內

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?

What will the Bitcoin implied volatility index hit by April 30?

6%

↓ 40

$65.7K 交易量

$6.6K Liq.

Ends 3 天內

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 28?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on April 28?

98%

$690

$706 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 24 小時內

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET

51%

Up

$0 交易量

$30.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 14 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like FOMC.

Polymarket currently hosts 132 active markets for FOMC that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $239.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “US bank failure by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on FOMC predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.