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美聯儲主席 預測與賠率

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Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___  by March 31?

Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?

-

$0 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月前

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

88%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$158K 交易量

$9.0K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

54%

December 31

$340K 交易量

$18.9K Liq.

14

Ends 7 個月內

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

2%

$50.4K 交易量

$40.4K Liq.

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

19%

December 31

$16.0K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

3%

June 30

$38.4K 交易量

$18.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

72%

0

$22.0K 交易量

$33.7K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M 交易量

$77.9K Liq.

Ends 25 天內

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

71%

No change

$38.5K 交易量

$259K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

93%

No change

$6M 交易量

$143K today

$836K Liq.

1

Ends 2 個月內

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

98%

No change

$39M 交易量

$965K today

$4M Liq.

1

Ends 25 天內

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

44%

3.75%

$7M 交易量

$147K Liq.

6

Ends 7 個月內

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

12%

$105K 交易量

$4.7K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Fed abolished before 2027?

Fed abolished before 2027?

3%

$4.2K 交易量

$15.3K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

24%

↓ 3.25%

$1M 交易量

$155K Liq.

4

Ends 7 個月內

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

19%

$13.1K 交易量

$3.4K Liq.

3

Ends 7 個月內

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed rate cut by...?

27%

December Meeting

$2M 交易量

$177K Liq.

17

Ends 25 天內

Kash Patel out by...?

Kash Patel out by...?

64%

December 31

$1M 交易量

$95.2K Liq.

129

Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

36%

October Meeting

$152K 交易量

$77.7K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

Who will Trump announce as next FDA commissioner?

29%

Kyle Diamantas

$8.0K 交易量

$48.6K Liq.

Ends 7 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 102 active markets for 美聯儲主席 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds above ___ by March 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $58.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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