Recent inflation data tied to energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions have shifted trader focus toward a potential 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. The July FOMC meeting held rates steady on a 9-3 vote, with three members dissenting in favor of immediate tightening, underscoring internal divisions and raising September odds. Market-implied probabilities now center on an October or September move, reflecting the balance between persistent price pressures and the Fed’s wait-and-see stance. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16–17 FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and any further geopolitical developments that could alter inflation trajectories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$2,105,513 交易量
2026-12-09
九月會議
36%
十月會議
47%
$2,105,513 交易量
九月會議
$736,788 交易量
36%
十月會議
$408,725 交易量
47%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data tied to energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions have shifted trader focus toward a potential 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. The July FOMC meeting held rates steady on a 9-3 vote, with three members dissenting in favor of immediate tightening, underscoring internal divisions and raising September odds. Market-implied probabilities now center on an October or September move, reflecting the balance between persistent price pressures and the Fed’s wait-and-see stance. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16–17 FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and any further geopolitical developments that could alter inflation trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$2,105,513結束日期
2026-10-29市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent inflation data tied to energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions have shifted trader focus toward a potential 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. The July FOMC meeting held rates steady on a 9-3 vote, with three members dissenting in favor of immediate tightening, underscoring internal divisions and raising September odds. Market-implied probabilities now center on an October or September move, reflecting the balance between persistent price pressures and the Fed’s wait-and-see stance. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16–17 FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and any further geopolitical developments that could alter inflation trajectories.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate hike has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,105,513結束日期
2026-10-29市場開放時間
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent inflation data tied to energy price spikes from Middle East supply disruptions have shifted trader focus toward a potential 25-basis-point federal funds rate hike from the current 3.50–3.75% target range. The July FOMC meeting held rates steady on a 9-3 vote, with three members dissenting in favor of immediate tightening, underscoring internal divisions and raising September odds. Market-implied probabilities now center on an October or September move, reflecting the balance between persistent price pressures and the Fed’s wait-and-see stance. Key upcoming catalysts include the September 16–17 FOMC meeting, fresh CPI and PCE releases, and any further geopolitical developments that could alter inflation trajectories.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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