Traders assign a 92.1% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting stable inflation trends and a resilient labor market that support gradual policy normalization rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent data releases, including moderate core CPI prints and steady nonfarm payrolls through mid-2026, have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments around the current Fed funds target. Market pricing aligns with the Fed's forward guidance emphasizing data dependence without signals of acute financial stress. Key upcoming catalysts such as September 2026 FOMC minutes and Q4 economic releases could reinforce this path. Still, a sharp downturn in GDP, sudden banking-sector strains, or major geopolitical shocks could quickly elevate odds of an unscheduled move.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
8% 機率
$213,642 交易量
$213,642 交易量
2026-12-31
是
8% 機率
$213,642 交易量
$213,642 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 92.1% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting stable inflation trends and a resilient labor market that support gradual policy normalization rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent data releases, including moderate core CPI prints and steady nonfarm payrolls through mid-2026, have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments around the current Fed funds target. Market pricing aligns with the Fed's forward guidance emphasizing data dependence without signals of acute financial stress. Key upcoming catalysts such as September 2026 FOMC minutes and Q4 economic releases could reinforce this path. Still, a sharp downturn in GDP, sudden banking-sector strains, or major geopolitical shocks could quickly elevate odds of an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$213,642結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Traders assign a 92.1% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting stable inflation trends and a resilient labor market that support gradual policy normalization rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent data releases, including moderate core CPI prints and steady nonfarm payrolls through mid-2026, have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments around the current Fed funds target. Market pricing aligns with the Fed's forward guidance emphasizing data dependence without signals of acute financial stress. Key upcoming catalysts such as September 2026 FOMC minutes and Q4 economic releases could reinforce this path. Still, a sharp downturn in GDP, sudden banking-sector strains, or major geopolitical shocks could quickly elevate odds of an unscheduled move.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$213,642結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETTraders assign a 92.1% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, reflecting stable inflation trends and a resilient labor market that support gradual policy normalization rather than crisis-driven easing. Recent data releases, including moderate core CPI prints and steady nonfarm payrolls through mid-2026, have reinforced expectations for measured adjustments around the current Fed funds target. Market pricing aligns with the Fed's forward guidance emphasizing data dependence without signals of acute financial stress. Key upcoming catalysts such as September 2026 FOMC minutes and Q4 economic releases could reinforce this path. Still, a sharp downturn in GDP, sudden banking-sector strains, or major geopolitical shocks could quickly elevate odds of an unscheduled move.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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