**Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap probabilities cluster tightly around the $2.0–$2.5 trillion range, reflecting trader focus on the company’s revenue trajectory and public-market reception.** Its May 2026 Series H round priced the firm at a $965 billion post-money valuation on a $47 billion annualized revenue run rate that has since climbed above $65 billion, with internal targets exceeding $100 billion by year-end. Reports point to an October–November 2026 Nasdaq listing targeting roughly $2 trillion and a potential $60–100 billion raise, roughly double the private mark and above SpaceX’s recent debut. Secondary and perpetual-contract pricing currently implies $1.5–2.2 trillion, while forward multiples of 20–30x revenue embed aggressive growth assumptions. The narrow spread across leading bins underscores uncertainty over Q3 results, AI-sector multiples, and whether public investors will sustain the premium once audited financials and risk factors are disclosed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2.0–2.25 兆美元 24.0%
2.25–2.5 兆美元 19%
1.75–2.0 兆美元 16%
2.5–2.75 兆美元 13.9%
$864,956 交易量
$864,956 交易量
低於1.25兆美元
1%
1.25–1.5 兆美元
4%
1.5–1.75 兆美元
6%
1.75–2.0 兆美元
16%
2.0–2.25 兆美元
24%
2.25–2.5 兆美元
19%
2.5–2.75 兆美元
14%
2.75–3.0 兆美元
4%
3 兆美元以上
2%
2027年12月31日前未上市
5%
2.0–2.25 兆美元 24.0%
2.25–2.5 兆美元 19%
1.75–2.0 兆美元 16%
2.5–2.75 兆美元 13.9%
$864,956 交易量
$864,956 交易量
低於1.25兆美元
1%
1.25–1.5 兆美元
4%
1.5–1.75 兆美元
6%
1.75–2.0 兆美元
16%
2.0–2.25 兆美元
24%
2.25–2.5 兆美元
19%
2.5–2.75 兆美元
14%
2.75–3.0 兆美元
4%
3 兆美元以上
2%
2027年12月31日前未上市
5%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
**Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap probabilities cluster tightly around the $2.0–$2.5 trillion range, reflecting trader focus on the company’s revenue trajectory and public-market reception.** Its May 2026 Series H round priced the firm at a $965 billion post-money valuation on a $47 billion annualized revenue run rate that has since climbed above $65 billion, with internal targets exceeding $100 billion by year-end. Reports point to an October–November 2026 Nasdaq listing targeting roughly $2 trillion and a potential $60–100 billion raise, roughly double the private mark and above SpaceX’s recent debut. Secondary and perpetual-contract pricing currently implies $1.5–2.2 trillion, while forward multiples of 20–30x revenue embed aggressive growth assumptions. The narrow spread across leading bins underscores uncertainty over Q3 results, AI-sector multiples, and whether public investors will sustain the premium once audited financials and risk factors are disclosed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions