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GPT 5 預測與賠率

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GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

91%

December 31, 2026

$297K 交易量

$15.4K Liq.

45

Ends 4 個月前

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

64%

Anthropic

$5M 交易量

$69.7K today

$957K Liq.

61

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

45%

Anthropic

$1M 交易量

$192K Liq.

19

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

14%

December 31, 2026

$253K 交易量

$969 Liq.

32

Ends 4 個月前

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

62%

$22.2K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

88%

July 31

$13.1K 交易量

$17.0K Liq.

Ends 3 個月內

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

93%

September 30

$5.8K 交易量

$5.8K Liq.

Ends 5 個月內

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

96%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$19.6K 交易量

$59.4K Liq.

5

Ends 3 天內

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

28%

50%+

$21.0K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

34%

60%+

$30.2K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

88%

$44.8K 交易量

$7.7K Liq.

14

Ends 8 個月內

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 16 天前

Grok 5 released by...?

Grok 5 released by...?

14%

June 30, 2026

$151K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

30

Ends 大約 2 個月內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

35%

2

$14.2K 交易量

$5.5K Liq.

Ends 26 天內

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

White House # posts May 5 - May 12, 2026?

31%

140-159

$19.1K 交易量

$62.2K Liq.

Ends 7 天內

Claude 5 released by…?

Claude 5 released by…?

26%

June 30, 2026

$4M 交易量

$31.6K Liq.

202

Ends 5 天前

What will happen before GTA VI?

What will happen before GTA VI?

98%

Drake releases Iceman

$22M 交易量

$790K Liq.

824

Ends 3 個月內

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

28%

$298K 交易量

$5.2K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

White House # posts April 28 - May 5, 2026?

96%

160-179

$142K 交易量

$51.8K today

$52.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 8 小時內

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Atreides vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs

100%

Brute

$29.7K 交易量

$118 Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時前

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like GPT 5.

Polymarket currently hosts 111 active markets for GPT 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “GPT-6 released by…?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $33.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “What will happen before GTA VI?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “What will happen before GTA VI?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to Drake releases Iceman. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on GPT 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.