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服務中斷 預測與賠率

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ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

ChatGPT Outage by May 1?

97%

$2.9K 交易量

$2.2K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

42%

<2

$828 交易量

$15.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

34%

June 30

$428K 交易量

$12.3K Liq.

46

Ends 大約 16 小時內

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

77%

June 30

$494K 交易量

$51.4K today

$35.5K Liq.

47

Ends 2 個月內

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

Critical Discord Incident by May 31?

32%

$1.5K 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Critical Discord Incident by April 30?

Critical Discord Incident by April 30?

4%

$20.4K 交易量

$328 Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時內

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

AWS service disrupted by April 30?

5%

$11.2K 交易量

$612 Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時內

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

Will Claude go down on __ days in May?

78%

12+

$3.0K 交易量

$2.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 1 個月內

Services Down Parlay

Services Down Parlay

3%

$14.1K 交易量

$153 Liq.

10

Ends 29 天前

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 29?

71%

Up

$58.8K 交易量

$58.8K today

$16.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?

SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 29?

61%

Up

$12.7K 交易量

$19.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 29?

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 29?

31%

Up

$8.9K 交易量

$9.5K Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 29?

Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 29?

50%

Up

$4.1K 交易量

$7.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 29?

Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 29?

37%

Up

$1.4K 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 29?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 29?

52%

Up

$500 交易量

$2.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 13 小時內

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 29?

Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on April 29?

3%

Up

$244 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 29?

EWY (EWY) Up or Down on April 29?

84%

Up

$203 交易量

$513 Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 29?

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on April 29?

56%

Up

$170 交易量

$579 Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 29?

Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 29?

56%

Up

$169 交易量

$2.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 29?

NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 29?

57%

Up

$109 交易量

$741 Liq.

Ends 大約 12 小時內

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like 服務中斷.

Polymarket currently hosts 161 active markets for 服務中斷 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “ChatGPT Outage by May 1?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Critical Discord Incident by April 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 77% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on 服務中斷 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.