OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, 2026, faces restricted public access primarily due to its designation as the first model meeting the company’s Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework. Official evaluations showed strong performance on ExploitBench and internal vulnerability benchmarks, prompting staggered rollout that prioritized enterprise testers and Daybreak Blue defensive tools before broader ChatGPT paid plans or API availability. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the “messy” phased deployment, which frustrated Pro subscribers expecting priority access and triggered compensation offers. This safety-driven gating, combined with competitive pressure from models like Claude and Gemini, shapes trader views on timelines for any full public release or potential further restrictions. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the current expansion wave and any new regulatory or internal safety reviews.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
2026-09-30
9 月 30 日
4%
10月31日
12%
$329 交易量
9 月 30 日
$299 交易量
4%
10月31日
$30 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, 2026, faces restricted public access primarily due to its designation as the first model meeting the company’s Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework. Official evaluations showed strong performance on ExploitBench and internal vulnerability benchmarks, prompting staggered rollout that prioritized enterprise testers and Daybreak Blue defensive tools before broader ChatGPT paid plans or API availability. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the “messy” phased deployment, which frustrated Pro subscribers expecting priority access and triggered compensation offers. This safety-driven gating, combined with competitive pressure from models like Claude and Gemini, shapes trader views on timelines for any full public release or potential further restrictions. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the current expansion wave and any new regulatory or internal safety reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ET
交易量
$329結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, 2026, faces restricted public access primarily due to its designation as the first model meeting the company’s Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework. Official evaluations showed strong performance on ExploitBench and internal vulnerability benchmarks, prompting staggered rollout that prioritized enterprise testers and Daybreak Blue defensive tools before broader ChatGPT paid plans or API availability. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the “messy” phased deployment, which frustrated Pro subscribers expecting priority access and triggered compensation offers. This safety-driven gating, combined with competitive pressure from models like Claude and Gemini, shapes trader views on timelines for any full public release or potential further restrictions. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the current expansion wave and any new regulatory or internal safety reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra model is generally removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
A general removal of public access means the model is no longer available for use by the general public in the United States through any of OpenAI's ordinary public channels, including its consumer applications and self-serve API. Removal from a single channel while another public channel retains access, removals applying only to limited groups (e.g., foreign nationals), payment or pricing changes, and restrictions on particular capabilities or features of an otherwise accessible model will not qualify. A general removal qualifies even if access is retained by limited groups or organizations (e.g., whitelisted firms, approved-access programs, or individuals with security clearance).
Removal of individual modes, snapshots, or reduced-capability variants will not qualify while the model itself remains publicly accessible; however, if only reduced-capability variants (e.g., mini or nano variants) remain accessible, the model will be considered removed.
A removal qualifies only if it is announced by OpenAI, or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting, that public access has been removed rather than temporarily interrupted; outages, capacity limitations, or lack of access due to technical issues will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from OpenAI and a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$329結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Sep 10, 2026, 1:38 PM ETOpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra, released September 3, 2026, faces restricted public access primarily due to its designation as the first model meeting the company’s Critical cybersecurity capability threshold under the Preparedness Framework. Official evaluations showed strong performance on ExploitBench and internal vulnerability benchmarks, prompting staggered rollout that prioritized enterprise testers and Daybreak Blue defensive tools before broader ChatGPT paid plans or API availability. Sam Altman publicly apologized for the “messy” phased deployment, which frustrated Pro subscribers expecting priority access and triggered compensation offers. This safety-driven gating, combined with competitive pressure from models like Claude and Gemini, shapes trader views on timelines for any full public release or potential further restrictions. Key near-term catalysts include completion of the current expansion wave and any new regulatory or internal safety reviews.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions