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Chatgpt 預測與賠率

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# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

37%

2

$12.4K 交易量

$6.1K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?

90%

$42.3K 交易量

$8.1K Liq.

11

Ends 8 個月內

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

12%

$66.9K 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

10

Ends 8 個月內

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

47%

60%+

$30.2K 交易量

$2.6K Liq.

4

Ends 大約 2 個月內

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

33%

50%+

$20.9K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

1

Ends 大約 2 個月內

GPT-6 released by…?

GPT-6 released by…?

92%

December 31, 2026

$295K 交易量

$14.3K Liq.

45

Ends 4 個月前

What will Bernie Sanders say in Detroit?

What will Bernie Sanders say in Detroit?

95%

Healthcare

$8.9K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 大約 16 小時前

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

79%

ChatGPT

$3.7K 交易量

$5.0K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 5?

60%

Claude by Anthropic

$508 交易量

$1.6K Liq.

Ends 1 天內

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May?

93%

Anthropic

$5.1K 交易量

$18.4K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

Which company has the second-best Coding AI model end of May?

87%

Anthropic

$3.9K 交易量

$8.7K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

55%

Anthropic

$35.2K 交易量

$47.2K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

91%

1560

$2.5K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

81%

Anthropic

$3M 交易量

$255K today

$2M Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

83%

Anthropic

$218K 交易量

$159K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

65%

Anthropic

$389K 交易量

$58.9K Liq.

51

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

84%

Anthropic

$19.0K 交易量

$33.3K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

6%

$2.6K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

4

Ends 8 個月內

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #2 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

87%

Anthropic

$8.0K 交易量

$9.6K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?

59%

1560

$7.3K 交易量

$724 Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 112 active markets for Chatgpt that lets you track or trade on predictions like “# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has the best AI model end of May?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has the best AI model end of May?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 81% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Chatgpt predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.