Google's next flagship Gemini Pro update, expected as version 3.5 Pro, has faced repeated delays after its June 2026 target slipped due to internal performance shortfalls on reasoning and agent benchmarks. The company released Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and followed with 3.6 Flash in July 2026, but withheld the Pro variant amid extra testing. Pre-training for Gemini 4 has begun, heightening competition with frequent model drops from OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI. Traders are watching for official announcements at developer events or earnings calls, where any confirmed release window or capability demo could shift implied probabilities on timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$470,735 交易量
8 月 7 日
6%
8 月 14 日
64%
8 月 21 日
82%
8 月 31 日
91%
$470,735 交易量
8 月 7 日
6%
8 月 14 日
64%
8 月 21 日
82%
8 月 31 日
91%
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間: Jul 10, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Google's next flagship Gemini Pro update, expected as version 3.5 Pro, has faced repeated delays after its June 2026 target slipped due to internal performance shortfalls on reasoning and agent benchmarks. The company released Gemini 3.1 Pro in February and followed with 3.6 Flash in July 2026, but withheld the Pro variant amid extra testing. Pre-training for Gemini 4 has begun, heightening competition with frequent model drops from OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI. Traders are watching for official announcements at developer events or earnings calls, where any confirmed release window or capability demo could shift implied probabilities on timelines.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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