**Congressional gridlock and partisan divides on regulatory scope have kept comprehensive AI safety legislation from advancing beyond committee markups.** Multiple bills addressing frontier model audits, risk assessments, incident reporting, and NIST oversight cleared the House Science Committee in June 2026 and saw Senate Commerce Committee discussions, yet none reached the floor before the House adjourned on September 17. Lawmakers will not reconvene until after the November midterms, leaving insufficient time for passage and presidential action before 2027. President Trump has publicly dismissed existential-risk concerns as a “hoax” and aligned with industry arguments that strict rules would cede ground to China, while Democrats push stronger liability and transparency measures. Traders price the low odds of enactment accordingly, reflecting stalled bipartisan talks and the narrow remaining calendar window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
10% 機率
$136,103 交易量
$136,103 交易量
2026-12-31
是
10% 機率
$136,103 交易量
$136,103 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Congressional gridlock and partisan divides on regulatory scope have kept comprehensive AI safety legislation from advancing beyond committee markups.** Multiple bills addressing frontier model audits, risk assessments, incident reporting, and NIST oversight cleared the House Science Committee in June 2026 and saw Senate Commerce Committee discussions, yet none reached the floor before the House adjourned on September 17. Lawmakers will not reconvene until after the November midterms, leaving insufficient time for passage and presidential action before 2027. President Trump has publicly dismissed existential-risk concerns as a “hoax” and aligned with industry arguments that strict rules would cede ground to China, while Democrats push stronger liability and transparency measures. Traders price the low odds of enactment accordingly, reflecting stalled bipartisan talks and the narrow remaining calendar window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET
交易量
$136,103結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Congressional gridlock and partisan divides on regulatory scope have kept comprehensive AI safety legislation from advancing beyond committee markups.** Multiple bills addressing frontier model audits, risk assessments, incident reporting, and NIST oversight cleared the House Science Committee in June 2026 and saw Senate Commerce Committee discussions, yet none reached the floor before the House adjourned on September 17. Lawmakers will not reconvene until after the November midterms, leaving insufficient time for passage and presidential action before 2027. President Trump has publicly dismissed existential-risk concerns as a “hoax” and aligned with industry arguments that strict rules would cede ground to China, while Democrats push stronger liability and transparency measures. Traders price the low odds of enactment accordingly, reflecting stalled bipartisan talks and the narrow remaining calendar window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
- Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
- Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
- Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
- Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$136,103結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 5:08 PM ET**Congressional gridlock and partisan divides on regulatory scope have kept comprehensive AI safety legislation from advancing beyond committee markups.** Multiple bills addressing frontier model audits, risk assessments, incident reporting, and NIST oversight cleared the House Science Committee in June 2026 and saw Senate Commerce Committee discussions, yet none reached the floor before the House adjourned on September 17. Lawmakers will not reconvene until after the November midterms, leaving insufficient time for passage and presidential action before 2027. President Trump has publicly dismissed existential-risk concerns as a “hoax” and aligned with industry arguments that strict rules would cede ground to China, while Democrats push stronger liability and transparency measures. Traders price the low odds of enactment accordingly, reflecting stalled bipartisan talks and the narrow remaining calendar window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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