Anthropic’s accelerated path to a public filing as early as late August 2026, targeting an October debut at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 95.3% market-implied odds it will IPO before OpenAI. Recent investor briefings and confidential SEC filings underscore Anthropic’s rapid revenue run-rate growth—now exceeding $65 billion annualized—positioning its Claude large language models competitively against rivals. OpenAI, by contrast, has confidentially filed but faces internal consensus around a 2027 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar citing valuation targets above $1 trillion, heavy compute commitments, and post-SpaceX market volatility as reasons for caution. Traders price in limited near-term reversal risk, though realistic scenarios such as extended SEC reviews, sudden market rallies enabling faster OpenAI timing, or regulatory shifts on AI governance could still alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Anthropic
95% 機率
$314,300 交易量
$314,300 交易量
2027-12-30
Anthropic
95% 機率
$314,300 交易量
$314,300 交易量
2027-12-30
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated path to a public filing as early as late August 2026, targeting an October debut at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 95.3% market-implied odds it will IPO before OpenAI. Recent investor briefings and confidential SEC filings underscore Anthropic’s rapid revenue run-rate growth—now exceeding $65 billion annualized—positioning its Claude large language models competitively against rivals. OpenAI, by contrast, has confidentially filed but faces internal consensus around a 2027 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar citing valuation targets above $1 trillion, heavy compute commitments, and post-SpaceX market volatility as reasons for caution. Traders price in limited near-term reversal risk, though realistic scenarios such as extended SEC reviews, sudden market rallies enabling faster OpenAI timing, or regulatory shifts on AI governance could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ET
交易量
$314,300結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s accelerated path to a public filing as early as late August 2026, targeting an October debut at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 95.3% market-implied odds it will IPO before OpenAI. Recent investor briefings and confidential SEC filings underscore Anthropic’s rapid revenue run-rate growth—now exceeding $65 billion annualized—positioning its Claude large language models competitively against rivals. OpenAI, by contrast, has confidentially filed but faces internal consensus around a 2027 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar citing valuation targets above $1 trillion, heavy compute commitments, and post-SpaceX market volatility as reasons for caution. Traders price in limited near-term reversal risk, though realistic scenarios such as extended SEC reviews, sudden market rallies enabling faster OpenAI timing, or regulatory shifts on AI governance could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Anthropic" if Anthropic completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before OpenAI completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "OpenAI" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) before Anthropic completes an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources.
This market will resolve 50-50 if:
- Neither company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET;
- Both companies complete an IPO on the same calendar date (ET); or
- By December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, both companies become unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$314,300結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 5:43 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s accelerated path to a public filing as early as late August 2026, targeting an October debut at a potential $2 trillion valuation, drives the 95.3% market-implied odds it will IPO before OpenAI. Recent investor briefings and confidential SEC filings underscore Anthropic’s rapid revenue run-rate growth—now exceeding $65 billion annualized—positioning its Claude large language models competitively against rivals. OpenAI, by contrast, has confidentially filed but faces internal consensus around a 2027 listing, with CFO Sarah Friar citing valuation targets above $1 trillion, heavy compute commitments, and post-SpaceX market volatility as reasons for caution. Traders price in limited near-term reversal risk, though realistic scenarios such as extended SEC reviews, sudden market rallies enabling faster OpenAI timing, or regulatory shifts on AI governance could still alter the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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