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Llm 預測與賠率

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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

12%

$66.9K 交易量

$5.4K Liq.

10

Ends 8 個月內

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

81%

Anthropic

$3M 交易量

$255K today

$2M Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

68%

Anthropic

$5M 交易量

$92.1K today

$923K Liq.

61

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

Which company has second best AI model end of June?

65%

Anthropic

$389K 交易量

$60.2K Liq.

51

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

83%

Anthropic

$218K 交易量

$151K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?

70%

1440+

$20.0K 交易量

$10.1K Liq.

1

Ends 8 個月內

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Model: Arena Debut?

72%

1480+

$21.2K 交易量

$13.2K Liq.

2

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

Which company has the third best AI model end of May?

64%

Google

$54.7K 交易量

$49.7K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

72%

Anthropic

$1M 交易量

$194K Liq.

19

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

Best AI model on May 8? (Style Control Off)

97%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$11.2K 交易量

$56.9K Liq.

3

Ends 4 天內

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

51%

Google

$3.9K 交易量

$479K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

Which company has the second best AI model end of May?

84%

Anthropic

$19.0K 交易量

$31.3K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

78%

Anthropic

$9.3K 交易量

$16.2K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

Next OpenAI Model: Arena Debut?

75%

1480+

$3.8K 交易量

$9.7K Liq.

Ends 8 個月內

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

17%

OpenAI

$2M 交易量

$28.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

55%

Anthropic

$35.2K 交易量

$43.4K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

54%

None in 2026

$42.6K 交易量

$26.4K Liq.

3

Ends 8 個月內

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?

5%

$106K 交易量

$15.2K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

39%

Baidu

$11.9K 交易量

$16.3K Liq.

Ends 27 天內

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by June 30?

61%

1520

$4.7K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 136 active markets for Llm that lets you track or trade on predictions like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $12.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Which company has best AI model end of June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 68% chance to Anthropic. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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