Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its May Series H round at a $965 billion valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO at or above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, combined with competitive positioning against OpenAI, supports market-implied odds near 90 percent for the top bracket. Investor meetings and underwriter discussions targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut further reinforce the consensus that the company will clear the threshold well before the December 2027 cutoff, with limited room for the lower valuation scenarios or a delayed listing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 8.2%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.1%
2,000–3,000 億 <1%
$410,779 交易量
$410,779 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
1%
6000億+
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
8%
6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 8.2%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.1%
2,000–3,000 億 <1%
$410,779 交易量
$410,779 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
$154,382 交易量
<1%
100–200億
$72,546 交易量
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
$19,614 交易量
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
$69,150 交易量
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
$21,534 交易量
1%
6000億+
$43,234 交易量
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
$30,318 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its May Series H round at a $965 billion valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO at or above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, combined with competitive positioning against OpenAI, supports market-implied odds near 90 percent for the top bracket. Investor meetings and underwriter discussions targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut further reinforce the consensus that the company will clear the threshold well before the December 2027 cutoff, with limited room for the lower valuation scenarios or a delayed listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
交易量
$410,779結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its May Series H round at a $965 billion valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO at or above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, combined with competitive positioning against OpenAI, supports market-implied odds near 90 percent for the top bracket. Investor meetings and underwriter discussions targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut further reinforce the consensus that the company will clear the threshold well before the December 2027 cutoff, with limited room for the lower valuation scenarios or a delayed listing.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$410,779結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing in June 2026 and its May Series H round at a $965 billion valuation have anchored trader expectations for an IPO at or above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, driven by enterprise adoption of its Claude large language models, combined with competitive positioning against OpenAI, supports market-implied odds near 90 percent for the top bracket. Investor meetings and underwriter discussions targeting an October 2026 Nasdaq debut further reinforce the consensus that the company will clear the threshold well before the December 2027 cutoff, with limited room for the lower valuation scenarios or a delayed listing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions