Recent $965 billion private valuation after Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round, combined with its confidential S-1 filing, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Traders see the Claude large language model's enterprise traction and roughly $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate as supporting a debut at or above current private levels, especially with underwriters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley engaged for a potential fall 2026 listing. The low odds on smaller brackets and delayed IPO reflect sustained AI sector demand and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though product execution risks and market volatility remain key swing factors ahead of any roadshow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 6.1%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$403,744 交易量
$403,744 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
1%
6000億+
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
6%
6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 6.1%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$403,744 交易量
$403,744 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
$150,965 交易量
<1%
100–200億
$72,213 交易量
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
$19,278 交易量
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
$68,670 交易量
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
$21,055 交易量
1%
6000億+
$42,852 交易量
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
$28,711 交易量
6%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent $965 billion private valuation after Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round, combined with its confidential S-1 filing, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Traders see the Claude large language model's enterprise traction and roughly $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate as supporting a debut at or above current private levels, especially with underwriters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley engaged for a potential fall 2026 listing. The low odds on smaller brackets and delayed IPO reflect sustained AI sector demand and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though product execution risks and market volatility remain key swing factors ahead of any roadshow.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
交易量
$403,744結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent $965 billion private valuation after Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round, combined with its confidential S-1 filing, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Traders see the Claude large language model's enterprise traction and roughly $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate as supporting a debut at or above current private levels, especially with underwriters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley engaged for a potential fall 2026 listing. The low odds on smaller brackets and delayed IPO reflect sustained AI sector demand and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though product execution risks and market volatility remain key swing factors ahead of any roadshow.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$403,744結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent $965 billion private valuation after Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round, combined with its confidential S-1 filing, drives the 89.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap. Traders see the Claude large language model's enterprise traction and roughly $47 billion annualized revenue run-rate as supporting a debut at or above current private levels, especially with underwriters like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley engaged for a potential fall 2026 listing. The low odds on smaller brackets and delayed IPO reflect sustained AI sector demand and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though product execution risks and market volatility remain key swing factors ahead of any roadshow.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions