**Strong trader consensus on a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's IPO stems primarily from the company's May 2026 Series H round, which closed at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion.** This private-market benchmark, led by major investors including Altimeter, Dragoneer, and Sequoia, reflects rapid revenue growth (reported ~$47 billion annualized run rate) and surging demand for its Claude large language models amid the broader AI boom. **The confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of upcoming investor meetings and a potential October Nasdaq listing, further reinforces expectations of a near-term IPO at a substantial valuation.** These steps signal that Anthropic is on track to go public well before the December 31, 2027 deadline, keeping the "no IPO" outcome at low probability. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, which has also advanced its own IPO plans, and sustained institutional appetite for frontier AI companies add to the momentum. **Lower-bracket outcomes remain negligible because historical precedents for high-growth AI firms and current private pricing make sub-$600 billion results unlikely absent major setbacks.** Key upcoming catalysts include the timing and pricing details from the roadshow, any updates on revenue milestones or model releases, and broader market conditions for AI equities. Trader sentiment aggregates real capital at risk, embedding these verified developments into the current implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 6.1%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$403,744 交易量
$403,744 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
1%
6000億+
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
6%
6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 6.1%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$403,744 交易量
$403,744 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
$150,965 交易量
<1%
100–200億
$72,213 交易量
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
$19,278 交易量
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
$68,670 交易量
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
$21,055 交易量
1%
6000億+
$42,852 交易量
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
$28,711 交易量
6%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Strong trader consensus on a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's IPO stems primarily from the company's May 2026 Series H round, which closed at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion.** This private-market benchmark, led by major investors including Altimeter, Dragoneer, and Sequoia, reflects rapid revenue growth (reported ~$47 billion annualized run rate) and surging demand for its Claude large language models amid the broader AI boom.
**The confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of upcoming investor meetings and a potential October Nasdaq listing, further reinforces expectations of a near-term IPO at a substantial valuation.** These steps signal that Anthropic is on track to go public well before the December 31, 2027 deadline, keeping the "no IPO" outcome at low probability. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, which has also advanced its own IPO plans, and sustained institutional appetite for frontier AI companies add to the momentum.
**Lower-bracket outcomes remain negligible because historical precedents for high-growth AI firms and current private pricing make sub-$600 billion results unlikely absent major setbacks.** Key upcoming catalysts include the timing and pricing details from the roadshow, any updates on revenue milestones or model releases, and broader market conditions for AI equities. Trader sentiment aggregates real capital at risk, embedding these verified developments into the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
交易量
$403,744結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.**Strong trader consensus on a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's IPO stems primarily from the company's May 2026 Series H round, which closed at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion.** This private-market benchmark, led by major investors including Altimeter, Dragoneer, and Sequoia, reflects rapid revenue growth (reported ~$47 billion annualized run rate) and surging demand for its Claude large language models amid the broader AI boom.
**The confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of upcoming investor meetings and a potential October Nasdaq listing, further reinforces expectations of a near-term IPO at a substantial valuation.** These steps signal that Anthropic is on track to go public well before the December 31, 2027 deadline, keeping the "no IPO" outcome at low probability. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, which has also advanced its own IPO plans, and sustained institutional appetite for frontier AI companies add to the momentum.
**Lower-bracket outcomes remain negligible because historical precedents for high-growth AI firms and current private pricing make sub-$600 billion results unlikely absent major setbacks.** Key upcoming catalysts include the timing and pricing details from the roadshow, any updates on revenue milestones or model releases, and broader market conditions for AI equities. Trader sentiment aggregates real capital at risk, embedding these verified developments into the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$403,744結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Strong trader consensus on a 600B+ closing market cap for Anthropic's IPO stems primarily from the company's May 2026 Series H round, which closed at a $965 billion post-money valuation after raising $65 billion.** This private-market benchmark, led by major investors including Altimeter, Dragoneer, and Sequoia, reflects rapid revenue growth (reported ~$47 billion annualized run rate) and surging demand for its Claude large language models amid the broader AI boom. **The confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on June 1, 2026, followed by July reports of upcoming investor meetings and a potential October Nasdaq listing, further reinforces expectations of a near-term IPO at a substantial valuation.** These steps signal that Anthropic is on track to go public well before the December 31, 2027 deadline, keeping the "no IPO" outcome at low probability. Competitive positioning against OpenAI, which has also advanced its own IPO plans, and sustained institutional appetite for frontier AI companies add to the momentum. **Lower-bracket outcomes remain negligible because historical precedents for high-growth AI firms and current private pricing make sub-$600 billion results unlikely absent major setbacks.** Key upcoming catalysts include the timing and pricing details from the roadshow, any updates on revenue milestones or model releases, and broader market conditions for AI equities. Trader sentiment aggregates real capital at risk, embedding these verified developments into the current implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions