Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential SEC filing targeting an October or late-2026 Nasdaq debut, has anchored trader expectations for a first-day market cap well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, leadership in frontier large language models like Claude, and competitive pressure from OpenAI have fueled secondary-market pricing above $1 trillion. These factors drive the 89 percent implied probability on the highest bracket while keeping the chance of no IPO by end-2027 below 10 percent, as no major regulatory or technical hurdles have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 8.2%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$404,869 交易量
$404,869 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
1%
6000億+
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
8%
6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 8.2%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$404,869 交易量
$404,869 交易量
2027-12-31
低於 1000 億
$150,970 交易量
<1%
100–200億
$72,213 交易量
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
$19,278 交易量
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
$68,670 交易量
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
$21,055 交易量
1%
6000億+
$42,852 交易量
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
$29,831 交易量
8%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential SEC filing targeting an October or late-2026 Nasdaq debut, has anchored trader expectations for a first-day market cap well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, leadership in frontier large language models like Claude, and competitive pressure from OpenAI have fueled secondary-market pricing above $1 trillion. These factors drive the 89 percent implied probability on the highest bracket while keeping the chance of no IPO by end-2027 below 10 percent, as no major regulatory or technical hurdles have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間： Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
交易量
$404,869結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential SEC filing targeting an October or late-2026 Nasdaq debut, has anchored trader expectations for a first-day market cap well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, leadership in frontier large language models like Claude, and competitive pressure from OpenAI have fueled secondary-market pricing above $1 trillion. These factors drive the 89 percent implied probability on the highest bracket while keeping the chance of no IPO by end-2027 below 10 percent, as no major regulatory or technical hurdles have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$404,869結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's May 2026 Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, paired with its June confidential SEC filing targeting an October or late-2026 Nasdaq debut, has anchored trader expectations for a first-day market cap well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a roughly $47 billion annualized run rate, leadership in frontier large language models like Claude, and competitive pressure from OpenAI have fueled secondary-market pricing above $1 trillion. These factors drive the 89 percent implied probability on the highest bracket while keeping the chance of no IPO by end-2027 below 10 percent, as no major regulatory or technical hurdles have emerged in recent months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions