Anthropic's May 2026 $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, followed by its confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for a 2026 IPO well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion annualized run rate, competitive gains with Claude models, and secondary-market pricing near $1.05–1.15 trillion reinforce the 89.5% implied probability on the top bracket. The low odds on lower caps or no IPO by late 2027 reflect the company's scale, AI sector momentum, and established path to a Nasdaq listing potentially as early as October, though SEC review timelines and any export-control developments could still shift timing or final pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 8.2%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$404,876 交易量
$404,876 交易量
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
1%
6000億+
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
8%
6000億+ 90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 8.2%
4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%
低於 1000 億 <1%
$404,876 交易量
$404,876 交易量
低於 1000 億
<1%
100–200億
<1%
2,000–3,000 億
<1%
3,000–4,000 億
<1%
4,000–6,000 億美元
1%
6000億+
90%
2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO
8%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市場開放時間: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Anthropic's May 2026 $65 billion Series H round at a $965 billion post-money valuation, followed by its confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, anchors trader expectations for a 2026 IPO well above $600 billion. Rapid revenue growth to a $47 billion annualized run rate, competitive gains with Claude models, and secondary-market pricing near $1.05–1.15 trillion reinforce the 89.5% implied probability on the top bracket. The low odds on lower caps or no IPO by late 2027 reflect the company's scale, AI sector momentum, and established path to a Nasdaq listing potentially as early as October, though SEC review timelines and any export-control developments could still shift timing or final pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions