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icon for Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）
金融·Claude 5

Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）

icon for Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）
金融·Claude 5

Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）

IPO收市市值（下括號）

IPO收市值（中括號）

IPO收市市值

IPO收市市值（下括號）

IPO收市值（中括號）

IPO收市市值

6000億+ 90%

2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 6.1%

4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%

低於 1000 億 <1%

Polymarket

$403,744 交易量

6000億+ 90%

2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO 6.1%

4,000–6,000 億美元 1.2%

低於 1000 億 <1%

Polymarket

$403,744 交易量

低於 1000 億

$150,965 交易量

<1%

100–200億

$72,213 交易量

<1%

2,000–3,000 億

$19,278 交易量

<1%

3,000–4,000 億

$68,670 交易量

<1%

4,000–6,000 億美元

$21,055 交易量

1%

6000億+

$42,852 交易量

90%

2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO

$28,711 交易量

6%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its recent $965 billion private valuation after a major funding round, underpins the market's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap upon IPO. Investor meetings scheduled for potential October timing further signal near-term listing momentum in a hot AI sector, where large language model leaders like Claude command premium pricing. The low 6.1% chance assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects broad trader consensus that regulatory review and market conditions favor a 2026 debut over delays, despite typical AI company timeline slippage. Lower brackets remain marginal as the company's scale and competitive positioning against OpenAI make sub-600B outcomes unlikely absent major setbacks.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$403,744
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic's confidential SEC S-1 filing on June 1, 2026, combined with its recent $965 billion private valuation after a major funding round, underpins the market's overwhelming 89.5% implied probability for a 600B+ closing market cap upon IPO. Investor meetings scheduled for potential October timing further signal near-term listing momentum in a hot AI sector, where large language model leaders like Claude command premium pricing. The low 6.1% chance assigned to no IPO by end-2027 reflects broad trader consensus that regulatory review and market conditions favor a 2026 debut over delays, despite typical AI company timeline slippage. Lower brackets remain marginal as the company's scale and competitive positioning against OpenAI make sub-600B outcomes unlikely absent major setbacks.

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$403,744
結束日期
2027-12-31
市場開放時間
Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

相關

icon for Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?

17%
icon for Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

40%
icon for Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

29%

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "6000億+" at 90%, followed by "2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 90¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）" has generated $403.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）" is "6000億+" at 90%, meaning the market assigns a 90% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2027 年 12 月 31 日前不會 IPO" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Anthropic IPO收市市值（下括號）" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.