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Claude 5 預測與賠率

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Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

Will Claude go down on __ days in June?

45%

6-8

$12.7K 交易量

$5.3K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

58%

45%+

$343K 交易量

$13.7K Liq.

28

Ends 17 天內

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

84%

50%+

$69.9K 交易量

$3.7K Liq.

13

Ends 17 天內

Claude Code Commits End of June?

Claude Code Commits End of June?

56%

750.0k+

$3.1K 交易量

$12.1K Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Best AI model on June 13?

Best AI model on June 13?

87%

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

$158K 交易量

$51.7K Liq.

Ends 大約 5 小時內

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

Claude Code Commits hit ___ by June 30?

17%

↓ 450.0k

$7.3K 交易量

$478 Liq.

Ends 17 天內

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

58%

September 30

$2.5K 交易量

$6.8K Liq.

Ends 4 個月內

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

Will there be a 1v5 ace clutch in the IEM Cologne Major 2026 playoffs?

11%

$94 交易量

$586 Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?

24%

$13.4K 交易量

$1.8K Liq.

23

Ends 2 個月前

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Golden Five vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

LPH Gaming

$33.2K 交易量

Ends 大約 2 個月前

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

White House # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

100%

180-199

$86.3K 交易量

$23.3K Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時前

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

"Toy Story 5" Rotten Tomatoes score?

96%

75+

$776 交易量

$1.2K Liq.

Ends 9 天內

Zelenskyy # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

95%

40-59

$20.7K 交易量

$16.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時前

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Atreides (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs

100%

Atreides

$1.8K 交易量

Ends 30 天前

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Khamenei # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

97%

<5

$17.6K 交易量

$8.6K Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時前

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

When will GPT-5.6 be released?

56%

June 22–June 28

$149K 交易量

$28.1K Liq.

Ends 15 天內

GPT-5.6 released by...?

GPT-5.6 released by...?

96%

July 31

$889K 交易量

$49.1K Liq.

18

Ends 大約 2 個月內

Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?

29%

$0 交易量

$141 Liq.

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M 交易量

$4.4K Liq.

135

Ends 7 個月內

Ted Cruz # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Ted Cruz # posts June 5 - June 12, 2026?

99%

100-119

$10.0K 交易量

$1.4K Liq.

Ends 大約 3 小時前

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Claude 5 that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will Claude go down on __ days in June?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 28% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Claude 5 predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.