Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and mandates for Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, has anchored trader expectations around an October 2026 listing. Rapid revenue growth—reportedly up fivefold in recent months—and a post-money valuation near $965 billion support the compressed timeline after the standard three-to-six-month review period. Reports in August 2026 explicitly flag a September-to-October window, though SEC accounting questions on revenue recognition and AI-specific risk disclosures introduce modest slippage risk. This explains the market’s heavy weighting toward October over September or later 2026 months, reflecting both procedural realities and the race with OpenAI for first-mover status among major AI labs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026 年 10 月 62%
2026年11月 11%
2026 年 9 月 9%
2027 年 5 月 5%
2026 年 9 月
9%
2026 年 10 月
62%
2026年11月
11%
2026 年 12 月
5%
2027 年 1 月
5%
2027 年 2 月
5%
2027 年 3 月
5%
2027年4月
4%
2027 年 5 月
5%
2027年6月
5%
2027年7月
4%
2027年8月
4%
2027 年 9 月
4%
2027年10月
1%
2027 年 11 月
4%
2027年12月
4%
2028年前不上市
5%
2026 年 10 月 62%
2026年11月 11%
2026 年 9 月 9%
2027 年 5 月 5%
2026 年 9 月
9%
2026 年 10 月
62%
2026年11月
11%
2026 年 12 月
5%
2027 年 1 月
5%
2027 年 2 月
5%
2027 年 3 月
5%
2027年4月
4%
2027 年 5 月
5%
2027年6月
5%
2027年7月
4%
2027年8月
4%
2027 年 9 月
4%
2027年10月
1%
2027 年 11 月
4%
2027年12月
4%
2028年前不上市
5%
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 9:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s confidential SEC filing on June 1, 2026, combined with ongoing investor meetings led by CFO Krishna Rao and mandates for Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, and Morgan Stanley, has anchored trader expectations around an October 2026 listing. Rapid revenue growth—reportedly up fivefold in recent months—and a post-money valuation near $965 billion support the compressed timeline after the standard three-to-six-month review period. Reports in August 2026 explicitly flag a September-to-October window, though SEC accounting questions on revenue recognition and AI-specific risk disclosures introduce modest slippage risk. This explains the market’s heavy weighting toward October over September or later 2026 months, reflecting both procedural realities and the race with OpenAI for first-mover status among major AI labs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions