Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於在11月1日前不會發佈 38%
10 月 26 日至 11 月 1 日 22%
8 月 31 日–9 月 6 日 22%
10月5日–10月11日 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
在 8 月 31 日之前
14%
8 月 31 日–9 月 6 日
22%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日
21%
9 月 14 日–9 月 20 日
13%
9 月 21 日–9 月 27 日
21%
9 月 28 日至 10 月 4 日
21%
10月5日–10月11日
22%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
22%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
22%
10 月 26 日至 11 月 1 日
22%
在11月1日前不會發佈
22%
在11月1日前不會發佈 38%
10 月 26 日至 11 月 1 日 22%
8 月 31 日–9 月 6 日 22%
10月5日–10月11日 22%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
在 8 月 31 日之前
$6 交易量
14%
8 月 31 日–9 月 6 日
$6 交易量
22%
9 月 7 日–9 月 13 日
$27 交易量
21%
9 月 14 日–9 月 20 日
$6 交易量
13%
9 月 21 日–9 月 27 日
$6 交易量
21%
9 月 28 日至 10 月 4 日
$6 交易量
21%
10月5日–10月11日
$6 交易量
22%
10 月 12 日–10 月 18 日
$6 交易量
22%
10 月 19 日–10 月 25 日
$6 交易量
22%
10 月 26 日至 11 月 1 日
$6 交易量
22%
在11月1日前不會發佈
$61 交易量
22%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
交易量
$142結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$142結束日期
2026-11-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's delayed Gemini 3.5 Pro flagship continues to shape trader sentiment, with the model still limited to partner testing after repeated timeline slips from an initial June target. Recent July releases of lighter variants like Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.5 Flash-Lite highlight a deliberate focus on optimized, cost-effective models ahead of the full Pro iteration, while training on Gemini 4 has already begun. Close probabilities across September and October windows reflect uncertainty over when internal benchmarks and competitive pressures from OpenAI and Anthropic will allow a stable release, with the sizable share on no launch by November underscoring potential for further slippage in this high-stakes AI race.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions