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icon for OpenAI IPO由... ？
科技·IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

icon for OpenAI IPO由... ？
科技·IPO

OpenAI IPO由... ？

$1,838,896 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$1,838,896 交易量

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$602,258 交易量

1%

2026年7月31日

$40,830 交易量

3%

2026 年 8 月 31 日

$39,501 交易量

6%

2026年9月30日

$28,976 交易量

33%

2026年12月31日

$631,804 交易量

73%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent preparations for a confidential IPO filing, reported in mid-May 2026, represent the main catalyst shifting trader sentiment toward a potential late-2026 debut. The company, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, is drafting prospectus materials that could reach regulators imminently, with CEO Sam Altman targeting a public listing as early as September. This follows strong 2025 revenue growth exceeding $13 billion alongside heavy infrastructure spending, a post-trial victory against Elon Musk, and a private valuation near $850 billion. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's parallel timeline and the need to complete a major pre-IPO round add uncertainty, while market conditions and any regulatory review could still influence the exact window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,838,896
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.OpenAI's recent preparations for a confidential IPO filing, reported in mid-May 2026, represent the main catalyst shifting trader sentiment toward a potential late-2026 debut. The company, working with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, is drafting prospectus materials that could reach regulators imminently, with CEO Sam Altman targeting a public listing as early as September. This follows strong 2025 revenue growth exceeding $13 billion alongside heavy infrastructure spending, a post-trial victory against Elon Musk, and a private valuation near $850 billion. Competitive pressure from Anthropic's parallel timeline and the need to complete a major pre-IPO round add uncertainty, while market conditions and any regulatory review could still influence the exact window.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange.

If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,838,896
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If OpenAI is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO由... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日" at 73%, followed by "2026年9月30日" at 33%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 73¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO由... ？" has generated $1.8 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 30, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO由... ？," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO由... ？" is "2026年12月31日" at 73%, meaning the market assigns a 73% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026年9月30日" at 33%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO由... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.