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icon for OpenAI IPO收市市值
金融·IPO

OpenAI IPO收市市值

icon for OpenAI IPO收市市值
金融·IPO

OpenAI IPO收市市值

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2028

1月 1, 2027

1月 1, 2028

2026年12月31日前未進行IPO 93%

1.5 兆美元以上 2.8%

7,500 億–1 兆 2.4%

1.25 兆–1.5 兆 <1%

Polymarket

$2,106,367 交易量

2026年12月31日前未進行IPO 93%

1.5 兆美元以上 2.8%

7,500 億–1 兆 2.4%

1.25 兆–1.5 兆 <1%

Polymarket

$2,106,367 交易量

低於 5000 億

$306,429 交易量

<1%

5,000–7,500億

$168,273 交易量

<1%

7,500 億–1 兆

$177,507 交易量

2%

1 兆–1.25 兆

$219,585 交易量

1%

1.25 兆–1.5 兆

$527,977 交易量

1%

1.5 兆美元以上

$156,696 交易量

3%

2026年12月31日前未進行IPO

$549,899 交易量

93%

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and subsequent internal deliberations have produced a clear trader consensus around no IPO by year-end 2026, reflected in the 92.5% implied probability. CEO Sam Altman has rejected any listing below a $1 trillion valuation floor, prompting advisers to favor a 2027 debut over a late-2026 offering that would require accepting the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion. Persistent operating losses, substantial compute commitments, and post-SpaceX IPO volatility in tech shares have reinforced CFO Sarah Friar’s guidance for a 2027 timeline. A rapid acceleration in revenue or a sustained equity-market rally that supports the higher valuation target could still compress that schedule, though current fundamentals point to extended private-company preparation.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$2,106,367
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing and subsequent internal deliberations have produced a clear trader consensus around no IPO by year-end 2026, reflected in the 92.5% implied probability. CEO Sam Altman has rejected any listing below a $1 trillion valuation floor, prompting advisers to favor a 2027 debut over a late-2026 offering that would require accepting the company’s March 2026 private mark of $852 billion. Persistent operating losses, substantial compute commitments, and post-SpaceX IPO volatility in tech shares have reinforced CFO Sarah Friar’s guidance for a 2027 timeline. A rapid acceleration in revenue or a sustained equity-market rally that supports the higher valuation target could still compress that schedule, though current fundamentals point to extended private-company preparation.

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$2,106,367
結束日期
2027-01-01
市場開放時間
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET

結算方

0x2F5e3684c...

相關

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到2027年12月31日為止，在首次公開募股日收盤時，OpenAI 的市值是否會達到或超過1.5兆美元？

80%
是
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OpenAI IPO收盤市值超過1兆美元？

95%
是
icon for SpaceX 還是 OpenAI 的首次公開募股市值較高？

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56%
SpaceX

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"OpenAI IPO收市市值" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026年12月31日前未進行IPO" at 93%, followed by "1.5 兆美元以上" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "OpenAI IPO收市市值" has generated $2.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "OpenAI IPO收市市值," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "OpenAI IPO收市市值" is "2026年12月31日前未進行IPO" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1.5 兆美元以上" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "OpenAI IPO收市市值" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.