OpenAI’s reported preference for delaying its IPO until 2027 to pursue a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the market’s strong “No” consensus. After confidentially filing in June 2026 with an initial fall target, leadership including CEO Sam Altman rejected banker advice for a quicker listing at a lower price, citing market volatility after the SpaceX debut and the company’s heavy losses plus multi-hundred-billion-dollar compute commitments. CFO Sarah Friar has publicly signaled a 2027 timeline, and the September 2026 window has already passed without progress while rival Anthropic advances. A sudden revenue inflection or favorable shift in AI investor sentiment could still compress the timeline, but current financials and strategic positioning make a $1T+ debut before year-end 2026 unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
8% 機率
$302,798 交易量
$302,798 交易量
2026-12-31
是
8% 機率
$302,798 交易量
$302,798 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s reported preference for delaying its IPO until 2027 to pursue a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the market’s strong “No” consensus. After confidentially filing in June 2026 with an initial fall target, leadership including CEO Sam Altman rejected banker advice for a quicker listing at a lower price, citing market volatility after the SpaceX debut and the company’s heavy losses plus multi-hundred-billion-dollar compute commitments. CFO Sarah Friar has publicly signaled a 2027 timeline, and the September 2026 window has already passed without progress while rival Anthropic advances. A sudden revenue inflection or favorable shift in AI investor sentiment could still compress the timeline, but current financials and strategic positioning make a $1T+ debut before year-end 2026 unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
市場開放時間： Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ET
交易量
$302,798結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.OpenAI’s reported preference for delaying its IPO until 2027 to pursue a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the market’s strong “No” consensus. After confidentially filing in June 2026 with an initial fall target, leadership including CEO Sam Altman rejected banker advice for a quicker listing at a lower price, citing market volatility after the SpaceX debut and the company’s heavy losses plus multi-hundred-billion-dollar compute commitments. CFO Sarah Friar has publicly signaled a 2027 timeline, and the September 2026 window has already passed without progress while rival Anthropic advances. A sudden revenue inflection or favorable shift in AI investor sentiment could still compress the timeline, but current financials and strategic positioning make a $1T+ debut before year-end 2026 unlikely.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI completes an initial public offering (IPO) valued at $1 trillion USD or higher at the time of the IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
An “initial public offering (IPO)” refers to the first sale of OpenAI’s equity securities to the public through a regulated stock exchange.
OpenAI will be considered to have achieved a $1 trillion valuation if the market capitalization implied by the IPO offering price multiplied by the total number of outstanding shares equals or exceeds $1 trillion USD.
Announcements, filings, or planned IPOs that do not result in public trading by that time will not qualify. Private funding rounds, secondary share sales, or employee-share transactions will not be considered. A direct listing or merger via SPAC will qualify only if it results in OpenAI’s common shares becoming publicly traded for the first time on a major exchange.
If OpenAI’s IPO is priced before the resolution deadline but public trading has not yet commenced, the market may remain open for up to 30 calendar days to determine whether the IPO is completed.
If OpenAI is acquired, dissolved, or merged into another entity before an IPO occurs, this market will resolve to “No.” In the event of a restructuring, the market will resolve based on the entity legally recognized as OpenAI’s successor will
The resolution source will be a consensus for credible reporting.
交易量
$302,798結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Oct 29, 2025, 8:29 PM ETOpenAI’s reported preference for delaying its IPO until 2027 to pursue a $1 trillion-plus valuation underpins the market’s strong “No” consensus. After confidentially filing in June 2026 with an initial fall target, leadership including CEO Sam Altman rejected banker advice for a quicker listing at a lower price, citing market volatility after the SpaceX debut and the company’s heavy losses plus multi-hundred-billion-dollar compute commitments. CFO Sarah Friar has publicly signaled a 2027 timeline, and the September 2026 window has already passed without progress while rival Anthropic advances. A sudden revenue inflection or favorable shift in AI investor sentiment could still compress the timeline, but current financials and strategic positioning make a $1T+ debut before year-end 2026 unlikely.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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