OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round established an $852 billion post-money valuation anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supported by rapid revenue growth to an estimated $24–40 billion annualized run rate from large language model APIs and ChatGPT. Secondary markets, however, imply valuations nearer $475–500 billion as of September 2026, reflecting concerns over sustained losses, intense competition from Anthropic, and conditional elements in recent funding. The company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported preference for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion create the current equilibrium, as traders weigh whether fresh model capabilities or enterprise adoption can close the gap before year-end versus delays that push resolution later.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？
2026年OpenAI估值超過1萬$ ？
是
51% 機率
$26,947 交易量
$26,947 交易量
2026-12-31
是
51% 機率
$26,947 交易量
$26,947 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round established an $852 billion post-money valuation anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supported by rapid revenue growth to an estimated $24–40 billion annualized run rate from large language model APIs and ChatGPT. Secondary markets, however, imply valuations nearer $475–500 billion as of September 2026, reflecting concerns over sustained losses, intense competition from Anthropic, and conditional elements in recent funding. The company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported preference for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion create the current equilibrium, as traders weigh whether fresh model capabilities or enterprise adoption can close the gap before year-end versus delays that push resolution later.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ET
交易量
$26,947結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round established an $852 billion post-money valuation anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supported by rapid revenue growth to an estimated $24–40 billion annualized run rate from large language model APIs and ChatGPT. Secondary markets, however, imply valuations nearer $475–500 billion as of September 2026, reflecting concerns over sustained losses, intense competition from Anthropic, and conditional elements in recent funding. The company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported preference for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion create the current equilibrium, as traders weigh whether fresh model capabilities or enterprise adoption can close the gap before year-end versus delays that push resolution later.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI achieves a public valuation of $1 trillion USD or more, or raises a private funding round that values the company at $1 trillion or more between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by OpenAI or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting.
The resolution source will be OpenAI’s official communications, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$26,947結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Jan 29, 2026, 3:34 PM ETOpenAI’s March 2026 $122 billion round established an $852 billion post-money valuation anchored by Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, supported by rapid revenue growth to an estimated $24–40 billion annualized run rate from large language model APIs and ChatGPT. Secondary markets, however, imply valuations nearer $475–500 billion as of September 2026, reflecting concerns over sustained losses, intense competition from Anthropic, and conditional elements in recent funding. The company’s confidential June 2026 S-1 filing and reported preference for a 2027 IPO at or above $1 trillion create the current equilibrium, as traders weigh whether fresh model capabilities or enterprise adoption can close the gap before year-end versus delays that push resolution later.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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