OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and repeated signals of a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion valuation above the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion, anchor trader sentiment amid ongoing losses and roughly $40 billion annualized revenue. Recent emphasis on AI safety and alignment has further delayed any 2026 window, tempering near-term pricing while leaving room for upside if revenue scales rapidly or a major capability release lifts multiples. With top market-implied odds clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2 trillion, the spread reflects uncertainty over execution risk, competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth AI names at resolution. Key swing factors include upcoming funding updates, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech valuations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 19.7%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16.9%
$2.5T+ 15.7%
$143,788 交易量
$143,788 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
17%
$1.5T–$1.75T
20%
$1.75T–$2.0T
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
8%
$2.5T+
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 19.7%
$1.25T–$1.5T 16.9%
$2.5T+ 15.7%
$143,788 交易量
$143,788 交易量
2027-06-30
<$1T
$26,580 交易量
7%
$1.0T–$1.25T
$17,659 交易量
12%
$1.25T–$1.5T
$8,444 交易量
17%
$1.5T–$1.75T
$7,308 交易量
20%
$1.75T–$2.0T
$13,600 交易量
22%
$2.0T–$2.25T
$2,668 交易量
3%
$2.25T–$2.5T
$8,484 交易量
8%
$2.5T+
$59,044 交易量
16%
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and repeated signals of a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion valuation above the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion, anchor trader sentiment amid ongoing losses and roughly $40 billion annualized revenue. Recent emphasis on AI safety and alignment has further delayed any 2026 window, tempering near-term pricing while leaving room for upside if revenue scales rapidly or a major capability release lifts multiples. With top market-implied odds clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2 trillion, the spread reflects uncertainty over execution risk, competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth AI names at resolution. Key swing factors include upcoming funding updates, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech valuations.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
交易量
$143,788結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and repeated signals of a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion valuation above the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion, anchor trader sentiment amid ongoing losses and roughly $40 billion annualized revenue. Recent emphasis on AI safety and alignment has further delayed any 2026 window, tempering near-term pricing while leaving room for upside if revenue scales rapidly or a major capability release lifts multiples. With top market-implied odds clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2 trillion, the spread reflects uncertainty over execution risk, competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth AI names at resolution. Key swing factors include upcoming funding updates, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech valuations.
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$143,788結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ETOpenAI’s confidential IPO filing and repeated signals of a 2027 debut, driven by CEO Sam Altman’s insistence on a minimum $1 trillion valuation above the March 2026 private mark of $852 billion, anchor trader sentiment amid ongoing losses and roughly $40 billion annualized revenue. Recent emphasis on AI safety and alignment has further delayed any 2026 window, tempering near-term pricing while leaving room for upside if revenue scales rapidly or a major capability release lifts multiples. With top market-implied odds clustered between $1.25 trillion and $2 trillion, the spread reflects uncertainty over execution risk, competitive positioning against peers like Anthropic, and broader equity-market appetite for high-growth AI names at resolution. Key swing factors include upcoming funding updates, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic conditions affecting tech valuations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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