Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions to flows through the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher this year, with front-month futures recently trading near $100–$107 per barrel as of mid-September 2026—well above year-ago levels but still far below the $147.27 all-time high set in 2008. Large global inventory draws and constrained Middle East output have supported prices, yet easing concerns over pipeline damage in Saudi Arabia, rerouting efforts, and weak Chinese demand have capped further gains and kept market-implied odds of breaching the record by year-end low. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing diplomatic talks, potential supply restorations, and upcoming inventory data releases that could shift the balance between risk premium and demand destruction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$3,887,375 交易量
2026-09-30
September 30
1%
December 31
12%
$3,887,375 交易量
September 30
$1,802,334 交易量
1%
December 31
$1,296,652 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions to flows through the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher this year, with front-month futures recently trading near $100–$107 per barrel as of mid-September 2026—well above year-ago levels but still far below the $147.27 all-time high set in 2008. Large global inventory draws and constrained Middle East output have supported prices, yet easing concerns over pipeline damage in Saudi Arabia, rerouting efforts, and weak Chinese demand have capped further gains and kept market-implied odds of breaching the record by year-end low. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing diplomatic talks, potential supply restorations, and upcoming inventory data releases that could shift the balance between risk premium and demand destruction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
市場開放時間： Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
交易量
$3,887,375結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions to flows through the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher this year, with front-month futures recently trading near $100–$107 per barrel as of mid-September 2026—well above year-ago levels but still far below the $147.27 all-time high set in 2008. Large global inventory draws and constrained Middle East output have supported prices, yet easing concerns over pipeline damage in Saudi Arabia, rerouting efforts, and weak Chinese demand have capped further gains and kept market-implied odds of breaching the record by year-end low. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing diplomatic talks, potential supply restorations, and upcoming inventory data releases that could shift the balance between risk premium and demand destruction.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. If finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period has not been published on the CME Group website within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the data published through all CME Group channels up to that point.
交易量
$3,887,375結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including disruptions to flows through the Strait of Hormuz amid the U.S.-Iran conflict, have driven WTI crude prices sharply higher this year, with front-month futures recently trading near $100–$107 per barrel as of mid-September 2026—well above year-ago levels but still far below the $147.27 all-time high set in 2008. Large global inventory draws and constrained Middle East output have supported prices, yet easing concerns over pipeline damage in Saudi Arabia, rerouting efforts, and weak Chinese demand have capped further gains and kept market-implied odds of breaching the record by year-end low. Key near-term catalysts include ongoing diplomatic talks, potential supply restorations, and upcoming inventory data releases that could shift the balance between risk premium and demand destruction.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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