OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026, combined with its record $122 billion funding round that closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, has established the primary benchmark for IPO pricing expectations. The company is generating roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—growing rapidly with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—yet remains unprofitable, which shapes investor scrutiny of margins and growth sustainability ahead of any public debut. Recent reports indicate a potential shift toward a 2027 listing rather than late 2026, reflecting deliberate pacing amid high AI-sector valuations and regulatory considerations. Market-implied odds for closing market cap thresholds will hinge on final IPO pricing relative to the $852 billion private level, upcoming earnings visibility, and broader tech-sector multiples at the time of the offering.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,515,525 交易量
$1,515,525 交易量
2027-12-31
8,000億美元
81%
1兆美元
73%
1.2兆美元
59%
1.4兆美元
40%
1.6兆美元
18%
$1,515,525 交易量
$1,515,525 交易量
2027-12-31
8,000億美元
$105,526 交易量
81%
1兆美元
$1,046,080 交易量
73%
1.2兆美元
$248,684 交易量
59%
1.4兆美元
$66,909 交易量
40%
1.6兆美元
$48,326 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026, combined with its record $122 billion funding round that closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, has established the primary benchmark for IPO pricing expectations. The company is generating roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—growing rapidly with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—yet remains unprofitable, which shapes investor scrutiny of margins and growth sustainability ahead of any public debut. Recent reports indicate a potential shift toward a 2027 listing rather than late 2026, reflecting deliberate pacing amid high AI-sector valuations and regulatory considerations. Market-implied odds for closing market cap thresholds will hinge on final IPO pricing relative to the $852 billion private level, upcoming earnings visibility, and broader tech-sector multiples at the time of the offering.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,515,525結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026, combined with its record $122 billion funding round that closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, has established the primary benchmark for IPO pricing expectations. The company is generating roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—growing rapidly with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—yet remains unprofitable, which shapes investor scrutiny of margins and growth sustainability ahead of any public debut. Recent reports indicate a potential shift toward a 2027 listing rather than late 2026, reflecting deliberate pacing amid high AI-sector valuations and regulatory considerations. Market-implied odds for closing market cap thresholds will hinge on final IPO pricing relative to the $852 billion private level, upcoming earnings visibility, and broader tech-sector multiples at the time of the offering.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,515,525結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in May 2026, combined with its record $122 billion funding round that closed at an $852 billion post-money valuation in March, has established the primary benchmark for IPO pricing expectations. The company is generating roughly $2 billion in monthly revenue—growing rapidly with enterprise contributing over 40 percent—yet remains unprofitable, which shapes investor scrutiny of margins and growth sustainability ahead of any public debut. Recent reports indicate a potential shift toward a 2027 listing rather than late 2026, reflecting deliberate pacing amid high AI-sector valuations and regulatory considerations. Market-implied odds for closing market cap thresholds will hinge on final IPO pricing relative to the $852 billion private level, upcoming earnings visibility, and broader tech-sector multiples at the time of the offering.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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