OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, anchored to its March 2026 private round at $852 billion and reaffirmed in an August tender offer, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on closing market cap thresholds. Revenue has accelerated sharply to a $40 billion-plus annualized run rate, supported by ChatGPT subscriptions and API demand, yet steep infrastructure-driven losses continue to pressure margins. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and leadership signaling a likely 2027 debut to avoid a lower 2026 pricing, implied multiples near 25 times trailing ARR sit below some high-growth peers but face scrutiny from broader tech IPO volatility and capital requirements. Key near-term catalysts include any public financial disclosures or shifts in equity market risk appetite that could influence final pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,522,393 交易量
$1,522,393 交易量
2027-12-30
8,000億美元
83%
1兆美元
76%
1.2兆美元
74%
1.4兆美元
63%
1.6兆美元
41%
$1,522,393 交易量
$1,522,393 交易量
2027-12-30
8,000億美元
$107,765 交易量
83%
1兆美元
$1,046,743 交易量
76%
1.2兆美元
$249,429 交易量
74%
1.4兆美元
$68,772 交易量
63%
1.6兆美元
$49,684 交易量
41%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, anchored to its March 2026 private round at $852 billion and reaffirmed in an August tender offer, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on closing market cap thresholds. Revenue has accelerated sharply to a $40 billion-plus annualized run rate, supported by ChatGPT subscriptions and API demand, yet steep infrastructure-driven losses continue to pressure margins. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and leadership signaling a likely 2027 debut to avoid a lower 2026 pricing, implied multiples near 25 times trailing ARR sit below some high-growth peers but face scrutiny from broader tech IPO volatility and capital requirements. Key near-term catalysts include any public financial disclosures or shifts in equity market risk appetite that could influence final pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,522,393結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, anchored to its March 2026 private round at $852 billion and reaffirmed in an August tender offer, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on closing market cap thresholds. Revenue has accelerated sharply to a $40 billion-plus annualized run rate, supported by ChatGPT subscriptions and API demand, yet steep infrastructure-driven losses continue to pressure margins. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and leadership signaling a likely 2027 debut to avoid a lower 2026 pricing, implied multiples near 25 times trailing ARR sit below some high-growth peers but face scrutiny from broader tech IPO volatility and capital requirements. Key near-term catalysts include any public financial disclosures or shifts in equity market risk appetite that could influence final pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,522,393結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETOpenAI’s pursuit of a $1 trillion-plus IPO valuation, anchored to its March 2026 private round at $852 billion and reaffirmed in an August tender offer, remains the dominant driver of trader sentiment on closing market cap thresholds. Revenue has accelerated sharply to a $40 billion-plus annualized run rate, supported by ChatGPT subscriptions and API demand, yet steep infrastructure-driven losses continue to pressure margins. With the confidential S-1 filed in June and leadership signaling a likely 2027 debut to avoid a lower 2026 pricing, implied multiples near 25 times trailing ARR sit below some high-growth peers but face scrutiny from broader tech IPO volatility and capital requirements. Key near-term catalysts include any public financial disclosures or shifts in equity market risk appetite that could influence final pricing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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