OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation, up from its March 2026 post-money private round at $852 billion following a $122 billion raise, remains the central driver of trader sentiment on post-listing market cap thresholds. Executives have signaled a preference for delaying the debut into 2027 rather than accepting a lower price in late 2026, amid monthly revenue near $2 billion offset by projected annual losses around $14 billion. This stance aligns with AI sector multiples and comparable tech benchmarks, while competitive pressures from Anthropic and broader equity market conditions, including Treasury yields and risk appetite, influence implied probabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates or additional funding rounds that could shift valuation expectations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,514,883 交易量
$1,514,883 交易量
2027-12-31
8,000億美元
80%
1兆美元
72%
1.2兆美元
61%
1.4兆美元
39%
1.6兆美元
18%
$1,514,883 交易量
$1,514,883 交易量
2027-12-31
8,000億美元
$104,967 交易量
80%
1兆美元
$1,046,080 交易量
72%
1.2兆美元
$248,673 交易量
61%
1.4兆美元
$66,859 交易量
39%
1.6兆美元
$48,304 交易量
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation, up from its March 2026 post-money private round at $852 billion following a $122 billion raise, remains the central driver of trader sentiment on post-listing market cap thresholds. Executives have signaled a preference for delaying the debut into 2027 rather than accepting a lower price in late 2026, amid monthly revenue near $2 billion offset by projected annual losses around $14 billion. This stance aligns with AI sector multiples and comparable tech benchmarks, while competitive pressures from Anthropic and broader equity market conditions, including Treasury yields and risk appetite, influence implied probabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates or additional funding rounds that could shift valuation expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,514,883結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation, up from its March 2026 post-money private round at $852 billion following a $122 billion raise, remains the central driver of trader sentiment on post-listing market cap thresholds. Executives have signaled a preference for delaying the debut into 2027 rather than accepting a lower price in late 2026, amid monthly revenue near $2 billion offset by projected annual losses around $14 billion. This stance aligns with AI sector multiples and comparable tech benchmarks, while competitive pressures from Anthropic and broader equity market conditions, including Treasury yields and risk appetite, influence implied probabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates or additional funding rounds that could shift valuation expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,514,883結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's pursuit of a $1 trillion IPO valuation, up from its March 2026 post-money private round at $852 billion following a $122 billion raise, remains the central driver of trader sentiment on post-listing market cap thresholds. Executives have signaled a preference for delaying the debut into 2027 rather than accepting a lower price in late 2026, amid monthly revenue near $2 billion offset by projected annual losses around $14 billion. This stance aligns with AI sector multiples and comparable tech benchmarks, while competitive pressures from Anthropic and broader equity market conditions, including Treasury yields and risk appetite, influence implied probabilities. Key near-term catalysts include any confidential S-1 updates or additional funding rounds that could shift valuation expectations before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
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