OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent confirmation that no IPO will occur this year have become the dominant factors shaping market-implied odds for its debut market capitalization. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as the key reason for the delay to 2027, tempering earlier expectations of a late-2026 listing at or above $1 trillion. The company’s most recent private valuation stood at $852 billion following a $122 billion March round, supported by a revenue run rate exceeding $24 billion yet offset by substantial GAAP losses projected near $14–62 billion for 2026. Traders are monitoring quarterly revenue inflection, any public S-1 amendments, and broader AI regulatory developments as the next catalysts that could influence pricing at debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$1,534,895 交易量
$1,534,895 交易量
2027-12-30
8,000億美元
94%
1兆美元
84%
1.2兆美元
79%
1.4兆美元
75%
1.6兆美元
74%
$1,534,895 交易量
$1,534,895 交易量
2027-12-30
8,000億美元
$111,286 交易量
94%
1兆美元
$1,051,130 交易量
84%
1.2兆美元
$250,229 交易量
79%
1.4兆美元
$70,422 交易量
75%
1.6兆美元
$51,829 交易量
74%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent confirmation that no IPO will occur this year have become the dominant factors shaping market-implied odds for its debut market capitalization. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as the key reason for the delay to 2027, tempering earlier expectations of a late-2026 listing at or above $1 trillion. The company’s most recent private valuation stood at $852 billion following a $122 billion March round, supported by a revenue run rate exceeding $24 billion yet offset by substantial GAAP losses projected near $14–62 billion for 2026. Traders are monitoring quarterly revenue inflection, any public S-1 amendments, and broader AI regulatory developments as the next catalysts that could influence pricing at debut.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市場開放時間： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,534,895結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent confirmation that no IPO will occur this year have become the dominant factors shaping market-implied odds for its debut market capitalization. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as the key reason for the delay to 2027, tempering earlier expectations of a late-2026 listing at or above $1 trillion. The company’s most recent private valuation stood at $852 billion following a $122 billion March round, supported by a revenue run rate exceeding $24 billion yet offset by substantial GAAP losses projected near $14–62 billion for 2026. Traders are monitoring quarterly revenue inflection, any public S-1 amendments, and broader AI regulatory developments as the next catalysts that could influence pricing at debut.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,534,895結束日期
2027-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETOpenAI’s confidential S-1 filing in June 2026 and subsequent confirmation that no IPO will occur this year have become the dominant factors shaping market-implied odds for its debut market capitalization. CEO Sam Altman cited AI safety and alignment priorities as the key reason for the delay to 2027, tempering earlier expectations of a late-2026 listing at or above $1 trillion. The company’s most recent private valuation stood at $852 billion following a $122 billion March round, supported by a revenue run rate exceeding $24 billion yet offset by substantial GAAP losses projected near $14–62 billion for 2026. Traders are monitoring quarterly revenue inflection, any public S-1 amendments, and broader AI regulatory developments as the next catalysts that could influence pricing at debut.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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